NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccb511da7a40c558fa9eb8b796d91e4decabb9e1c688662ebb69cfd40882652e

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hawksof Hawks, Pacers
Resolved: Jan 26, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $243,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $247,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,849 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe686…13cbbacked Pacers	52c	60,000$31,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,200	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Hawks	48c	51,698$24,815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,882.83	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Hawks	48c	23,103$11,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,902.36	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks	49c	20,129$9,908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,221.58	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Pacers	49c	20,000$9,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,799.99	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Pacers	50c	19,376$9,644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,644.13	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Hawks	50c	13,387$6,693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,693.44	212	50.5%107 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pacers	52c	12,744$6,583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,583.01	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Hawks	49c	9,388$4,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,787.76	137	48.9%67 W · 70 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Hawks	51c	7,608$3,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,727.73	346	54%187 W · 159 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Hawks	49c	7,143$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,642.86	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0ae…4ac8backed Hawks	49c	6,735$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,434.69	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Hawks	50c	5,746$2,873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,873	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hawks	50c	5,640$2,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,820	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f3d…b223backed Hawks	48c	5,388$2,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,801.76	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+44.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Hawks	49c	5,170$2,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,636.85	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Hawks	49c	4,927$2,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,512.77	240	53.8%129 W · 111 L	+12.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Pacers	51c	4,883$2,491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,490.52	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers	52c	4,849$2,513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,512.82	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Hawks	49c	4,800$2,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,448	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4aaf…5750backed Hawks	48c	4,699$2,256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,443.48	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e6…f782backed Hawks	48c	4,621$2,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,402.92	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Hawks	50c	4,295$2,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,147.37	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac94…ccadbacked Hawks	48c	4,232$2,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,200.64	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf23f…437cbacked Hawks	48c	4,122$1,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,143.44	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.4wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+95.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Pacers	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,080	245	49%120 W · 125 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…da4abacked Pacers	52c	3,822$1,987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,987.44	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-63%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pacers	52c	3,703$1,926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,925.73	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3498…75d4backed Pacers	52c	3,676$1,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,911.52	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Pacers	49c	3,586$1,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,769.77	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf99…4e5bbacked Pacers	52c	2,755$1,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,432.6	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cff…8380backed Pacers	52c	2,709$1,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,408.68	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2555…ac68backed Pacers	52c	2,708$1,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,408.16	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Pacers	65c	2,150$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Hawks	49c	1,917$939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$977.68	78	50%39 W · 39 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks	46c	1,750$811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.68	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Hawks	50c	1,740$870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Pacers	50c	1,614$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812.45	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xef19…0599backed Pacers	52c	1,588$826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825.76	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a68…3319backed Pacers	52c	1,511$786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$785.72	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Hawks	32c	1,500$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,013.95	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba03…be14backed Pacers	52c	1,355$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.6	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks	51c	1,305$665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.39	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Pacers	52c	1,186$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.72	207	44.9%93 W · 114 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Pacers	49c	1,135$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556	240	51.3%123 W · 117 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks	45c	1,054$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.6	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Hawks	49c	1,034$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.73	193	50.3%97 W · 96 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Hawks	49c	1,030$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.2	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+3.7wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+45%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Pacers	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers	50c	999.96$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.5	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Pacers	2c	986$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.83	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Hawks	52c	935.82$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.19	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…19eabacked Pacers	49c	887$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.63	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Pacers	51c	886.27$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.07	263	36.5%96 W · 167 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8b9…d1d9backed Pacers	51c	799.97$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.99	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4592…49b6backed Pacers	52c	793.68$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.71	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hawks	50c	772$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94e4…6a78backed Pacers	52c	755$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.6	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-20%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Hawks	51c	630.03$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.71	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53fc…821abacked Pacers	52c	612$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.24	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Hawks	49c	589.8$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.8	254	52.8%134 W · 120 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Hawks	49c	520$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.2	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.0wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks	48c	507$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.64	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb991…2462backed Hawks	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Pacers	50c	478$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Hawks	49c	439$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.89	430	52.3%225 W · 205 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13ff…3fa4backed Pacers	52c	402$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.04	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa952…ae7cbacked Pacers	52c	402$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.04	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Hawks	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Pacers	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83ca…3d39backed Hawks	51c	385$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.65	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Pacers	53c	382.21$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.57	419	47.7%200 W · 219 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Hawks	50c	368$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f2…cc54backed Pacers	52c	357$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.64	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Hawks	49c	330.68$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.16	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Hawks	49c	322.45$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.45	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…573bbacked Pacers	52c	322$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.44	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed Hawks	52c	300$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ab…7ecdbacked Hawks	48c	300$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Hawks	49c	296.01$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.97	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Hawks	52c	288.46$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.46	229	53.7%123 W · 106 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks	41c	277.55$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.52	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb89…05b1backed Hawks	51c	277$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.73	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Pacers	49c	254$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	188	52.7%99 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Pacers	50c	243.54$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.77	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Hawks	45c	229.4$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.79	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ac2…2162backed Hawks	51c	225$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.25	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…7e16backed Hawks	52c	209.62$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.62	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-4.6wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Hawks	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Hawks	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Hawks	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Hawks	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Hawks	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Hawks	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	283	48.8%138 W · 145 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks	50c	170$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Pacers	49c	157.77$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.31	111	50.5%56 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3675…e4cdbacked Hawks	49c	139.3$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.04	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Pacers	52c	138.46$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	364	49.7%181 W · 183 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Pacers	62c	135.24$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.27	127	37%47 W · 80 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Pacers	49c	128.37$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.9	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Hawks (-5.5)this page
Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Corey Kispert: Points O/U 7.5No won
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Pacers vs. HawksHawks won
Pacers vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylinePacers won
Pacers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5Over won
Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Over won
Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Over won
Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Over won
Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Over won
Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 248.5Under won
Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 250.5Under won
Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hawks (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event