NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2edc30824a876ad90132249981e63e223fd7568988dbcb00bb8a715ae88b4cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 47,274$23,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,044.12 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Under | 40c | 40,639$16,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,255.96 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 51c | 26,438$13,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,954.77 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 8c | 26,329$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.32 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 10,211$5,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,217.2 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 49c | 6,495$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.55 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Over | 48c | 4,672$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 3,865$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 52c | 3,545$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.43 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 48c | 1,635$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.42 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 50c | 1,183$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.26 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 53c | 1,142$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.02 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 48c | 1,135$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.42 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 3c | 1,131$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2694…415abacked Under | 2c | 948.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Under | 50c | 888$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Under | 10c | 866.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Under | 9c | 800$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 53c | 630.07$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.94 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Under | 8c | 374.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 48c | 366.9$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.79 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…da2cbacked Over | 48c | 340.7$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.16 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 51c | 306.4$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Under | 53c | 280$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 50c | 236.36$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 58c | 228.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 33c | 219.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bd…1cd0backed Under | 54c | 180.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 49c | 171.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 9c | 149$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3675…e4cdbacked Under | 49c | 139.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Under | 51c | 125.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 48c | 122.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 49c | 118.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 49c | 112.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 104.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd4…308cbacked Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Over | 50c | 90.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 50c | 89.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 47c | 74.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 40c | 62.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 52c | 48.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 51c | 48.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…59b1backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 43.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Under | 52c | 41.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Over | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 51c | 36.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Over | 49c | 35.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Under | 51c | 32.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 31.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 49c | 31.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…f0a5backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6686backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63e7…2386backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5this page
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Corey Kispert: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. HawksHawks won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 248.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 250.5Under won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.