TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,730
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,730 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Under50c35,812$18,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,051.512,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c22,222$10,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,903.659,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c20,520$10,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,388.382,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a0…43cfbacked Over51c17,100$8,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,3792356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc898…e5b3backed Under49c17,100$8,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,3792759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75ee…ca3cbacked Over50c11,969$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,969.352356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under1c7,841$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.541,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2694…415abacked Under0c7,539$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.952240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over51c7,000$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,429.9345348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Over52c6,909$3,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,316.140446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Under49c6,767$3,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,315.8313239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c6,451$3,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,225.52,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1a…8b32backed Over48c5,573$2,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,897.96450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef19…0599backed Over48c5,266$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,738.01450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over50c5,200$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60017249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a68…3319backed Over48c5,186$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,696.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over51c4,769$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,33780737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92024549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under5c3,361$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.231,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under51c3,355$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.781,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef3…f71ebacked Under53c2,536$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8864…55d4backed Under53c2,452$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.56520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c2,256$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.441,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c2,157$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c2,138$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.812,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over52c2,100$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00822055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74af…86f5backed Over47c2,036$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c2,000$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.53,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…573bbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4aaf…5750backed Under52c1,987$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Over53c1,928$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.33568.6%24 W · 11 L+6.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2555…ac68backed Under52c1,905$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac94…ccadbacked Under52c1,894$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.88450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x966d…e768backed Under53c1,857$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.21425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa952…ae7cbacked Under52c1,736$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.7240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13ff…3fa4backed Under52c1,713$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.7640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8738…da4abacked Under52c1,679$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…9974backed Over47c1,614$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e6…f782backed Under52c1,568$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.36450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x197b…a6b0backed Under48c1,561$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.791361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cff…8380backed Under52c1,543$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.36425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b9…50e9backed Over47c1,371$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca5…dd74backed Over47c1,371$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.63450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Over50c1,298$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.785743.9%25 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe45d…12babacked Over47c1,218$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.54450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under46c1,170$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.991,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c54…da2cbacked Over51c1,003$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.64854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over52c999.25$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.641,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under35c975$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.2926336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under49c868$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.322,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under40c818.7$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.93,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c809.47$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.026,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36867252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bde…ca3abacked Over52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3842462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Over51c799.99$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.9949142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over51c789.96$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.6135747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c768.61$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.15,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x210c…b84abacked Under53c765$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4592…49b6backed Over53c763.72$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.951442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Over68c735.62$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.6221055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30040648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under18c547.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.383,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebfb…f2b1backed Over79c478.79$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under6c420$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.61,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x441d…7a4ebacked Over50c401.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.826145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e36…c05cbacked Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e1…4cc7backed Over52c383.23$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.955935.6%21 W · 38 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under28c332.02$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.872,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c322$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.668,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Under49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018031.7%57 W · 123 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93c…60e3backed Under53c290$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Over50c280.35$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.1820651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over50c234$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11725452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c223.06$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.272,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53a2…320bbacked Over53c208.45$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11041052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over49c199.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecef…558abacked Over50c199.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.982147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e6…3d2ebacked Over51c199.58$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.454100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Over51c193.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8210451%53 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under48c193.43$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8553149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63f4…83a0backed Over51c187.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.766347.6%30 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Over51c175.55$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0210046%46 W · 54 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92c6…95a0backed Under54c166.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over60c166.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3914742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8026044.6%116 W · 144 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under43c157.12$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.223,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Over51c145.37$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5311637.9%44 W · 72 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Over50c144$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728050%40 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under10c130.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over51c117.63$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6476250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over51c114.77$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4292750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over47c101.55$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8247349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5542551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2984…57c8backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4528949.1%142 W · 147 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.