TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Hawks: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,420 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers54c1,109$600 inWon+$508.675,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Hawks34c516.62$178 inLost-$178.132744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hawks60c469.13$283 inLost-$283.432,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Hawks12c266.96$31 inLost-$30.941,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2694…415abacked Hawks13c213.99$28 inLost-$27.622240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…e5e6backed Hawks61c131$80 inLost-$79.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf341…b5f6backed Hawks29c68.97$20 inLost-$204845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Pacers44c55$24 inWon+$30.89833.7%33 W · 65 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Pacers39c53.5$21 inWon+$32.638744.8%39 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Pacers75c42.74$32 inWon+$10.6114751%75 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hawks38c39.48$15 inLost-$1545445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe073…9747backed Pacers68c21.06$14 inWon+$6.74425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Pacers61c17.5$11 inWon+$6.8766646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.