TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,761

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,112 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c11,991$6,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,076.329,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c9,000$4,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,349.981,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a8…69bbbacked Over48c6,310$3,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,281.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over51c5,925$3,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,893.4365750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over47c5,053$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,677.9951844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c4,906$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over52c4,522$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185.712,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…0f33backed Under51c4,200$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee2…4f05backed Over49c4,136$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f3…7d28backed Under51c4,100$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,09110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdad0…af50backed Over49c4,055$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c14…7a93backed Under51c3,988$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a6…c7e5backed Over49c3,755$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd128…d7ccbacked Over49c3,725$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7366…f228backed Over49c3,722$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf270…a815backed Under51c3,722$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda93…afeebacked Over49c3,717$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a5c…5593backed Under51c3,711$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a05…5ed2backed Over49c3,677$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,875.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f5…2f50backed Under51c3,655$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5dd…aa1fbacked Under51c3,652$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over50c3,536$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.271,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd03d…57fdbacked Over49c3,466$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e4c…c261backed Under51c3,455$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fbb…adb0backed Over49c3,421$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb6…4878backed Over49c3,355$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3d0…98eabacked Over49c3,336$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdad…b43ebacked Over49c3,300$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x669c…5769backed Over49c3,268$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedef…1fcbbacked Under52c3,255$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ad…329dbacked Over49c3,244$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6109…7063backed Under51c3,232$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…2e52backed Over48c3,185$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f44…f194backed Under51c3,155$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5890…2abdbacked Over49c3,133$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under48c3,132$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.362,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f74…9ac3backed Over49c3,121$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over46c3,010$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.45547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2e…ccd5backed Over49c3,010$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe7…5576backed Under51c2,980$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…8314backed Under51c2,977$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…8b80backed Over49c2,974$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2502…0608backed Over48c2,955$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4a…9f3dbacked Over49c2,944$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c10…222dbacked Under51c2,922$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbafe…4c4ebacked Over49c2,911$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd834…4097backed Under51c2,893$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4346…4696backed Under52c2,855$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c2,816$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.116,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb153…b409backed Over49c2,665$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under50c2,643$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.72,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe436…ed38backed Under51c2,633$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.8330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4389…2ebfbacked Over49c2,600$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53c7…5a46backed Over49c2,522$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec7…301abacked Over49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ac…da00backed Over49c2,422$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6549…44f2backed Under52c2,310$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e64…c826backed Over48c2,233$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe4…dea0backed Under51c2,222$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over50c2,217$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.5138251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x550e…cb5fbacked Over49c2,201$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd32…796fbacked Under52c2,200$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c2,200$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785b…9d1fbacked Under52c2,200$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa1…dc92backed Under51c2,155$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9bb…9cc7backed Under51c2,126$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…b7cabacked Under51c2,121$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ad…4e1dbacked Over48c2,120$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cf3…b3dcbacked Under51c2,120$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ac…19dcbacked Under51c2,111$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b5…71e5backed Over49c2,106$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ee…76efbacked Over49c2,101$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.51475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf0e…42ffbacked Under51c2,088$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300f…08a6backed Under51c2,055$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6174…ca31backed Under51c2,044$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8acb…da14backed Over49c2,033$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.83450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4f…de29backed Over49c2,023$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf69e…b328backed Over48c2,010$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef71…0e29backed Over49c2,005$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa739…1ef4backed Over49c1,989$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0592…f20cbacked Over48c1,955$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a66…1276backed Under51c1,944$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1a6…aae8backed Under51c1,932$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92bd…b9eabacked Under51c1,922$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0f…7b44backed Under51c1,899$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb36…b899backed Over48c1,899$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9082…c899backed Over49c1,898$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd213…5d0ebacked Over49c1,877$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf154…6890backed Over48c1,856$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4319…dcc6backed Over49c1,828$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d5…af59backed Over48c1,828$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.511457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafbc…3972backed Over49c1,822$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.22580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcaa7…4774backed Under51c1,822$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under63c1,801$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.1383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8caa…8a3fbacked Under52c1,800$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef68…5733backed Under54c1,796$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9701060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce6…28c6backed Under52c1,755$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc30…56bbbacked Under51c1,747$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6846…bd21backed Under51c1,727$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.7730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.