NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x242ba543fed014c3bdcd72bba7cf9602d286d660e39a6224886cc7a72d893ac7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $484,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,271 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Red Wings | 51c | 80,965$41,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,673.14 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Red Wings | 52c | 80,000$41,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,400.25 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Devils | 50c | 70,000$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,999.78 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Red Wings | 50c | 51,790$25,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,987.56 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Devils | 49c | 45,000$22,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,050 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Devils | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings | 51c | 19,326$9,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,460.48 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Devils | 48c | 15,976$7,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,668.5 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Devils | 48c | 15,477$7,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,428.96 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Devils | 50c | 12,500$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.93 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Devils | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,759.97 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Devils | 51c | 10,786$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Red Wings | 51c | 10,262$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,065.93 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Devils | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.98 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Red Wings | 52c | 9,616$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.94 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Devils | 49c | 8,673$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Devils | 48c | 8,500$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.96 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 48c | 7,100$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,387.01 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Red Wings | 61c | 6,740$4,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.41 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Devils | 23c | 6,200$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.91 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Red Wings | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Red Wings | 50c | 6,000$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.28 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Devils | 2c | 5,118$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Devils | 50c | 5,070$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.44 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Devils | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 52c | 4,375$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.28 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Devils | 49c | 4,080$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.76 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 66c | 4,043$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.46 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Devils | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Red Wings | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.3 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Red Wings | 75c | 3,899$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.22 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Red Wings | 52c | 3,847$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.72 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Devils | 32c | 3,133$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Red Wings | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Devils | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Devils | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.98 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Devils | 48c | 3,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.97 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Devils | 48c | 2,640$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.06 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…1d66backed Devils | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Devils | 14c | 2,118$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.81 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Devils | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.94 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Red Wings | 72c | 2,021$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.6 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Red Wings | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.27 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Red Wings | 52c | 1,634$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.56 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,586$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.83 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Devils | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked Devils | 50c | 1,307$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.71 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Red Wings | 61c | 1,256$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.83 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…205dbacked Devils | 50c | 1,070$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,047$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Devils | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Devils | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab23…56a3backed Red Wings | 51c | 1,030$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Devils | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.2 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Red Wings | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.48 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Red Wings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.04 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Red Wings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Devils | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Red Wings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.1 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Red Wings | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Red Wings | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Devils | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bd…b051backed Devils | 48c | 952.38$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings | 49c | 909.8$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.57 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Devils | 48c | 907.82$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.75 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Devils | 48c | 900.68$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.33 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Devils | 10c | 850$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Devils | 48c | 839$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.72 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Devils | 36c | 830.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Red Wings | 50c | 818.74$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.24 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Red Wings | 53c | 800$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.25 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Red Wings | 52c | 769.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.81 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Red Wings | 73c | 717.02$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.94 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Devils | 47c | 707.55$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.55 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Wings | 52c | 670$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.46 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x840c…2e9dbacked Devils | 49c | 612.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Red Wings | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Red Wings | 50c | 599.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Red Wings | 68c | 565.66$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.88 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Red Wings | 52c | 559.56$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.59 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…8a3bbacked Devils | 26c | 552.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9192…92acbacked Devils | 50c | 550.44$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.78 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Devils | 48c | 535.3$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.94 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Devils | 48c | 515.94$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.65 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Devils | 50c | 515.63$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.51 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Devils | 50c | 500.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Devils | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Devils | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Devils | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Red Wings | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Red Wings | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Red Wings | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +27.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Red Wings | 55c | 478.86$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.96 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Devils | 2c | 450$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Devils | 40c | 441$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.07 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Devils | 49c | 423.31$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Devils | 48c | 417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Devils | 15c | 412.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Red Wings | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Red Wings | 52c | 396.98$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.3 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Devilsthis page
- Red Wings vs. Devils: O/U 4.5Under won
- Red Wings vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Under won
- Red Wings vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Red Wings won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.