NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Devils: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95a0162c971cf4207f0140c957ce0fdea476a385976f2bc83c1632461152dbfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $707,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $707,501 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 455,608$233,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233,872.11 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,000 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 132,945$65,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,811.61 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 49c | 112,319$54,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,405.74 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 51c | 106,739$54,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,037.08 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 49,001$23,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,048.75 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 48c | 34,080$16,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,721.56 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Under | 51c | 20,246$10,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,923.62 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 52c | 7,397$3,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,846.17 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 49c | 5,441$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.67 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1f2bbacked Under | 50c | 5,075$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 49c | 3,250$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,999$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.94 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 2,700$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.5 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 48c | 2,005$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.32 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 1,957$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.03 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 48c | 1,500$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…0665backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 52c | 1,056$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.11 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 52c | 1,047$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.3 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.02 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 988$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 51c | 955.8$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.95 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 948.49$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.73 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 52c | 850.33$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.4 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 832.04$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.3 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 51c | 723.27$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.71 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 679.74$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 49c | 645$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.95 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 51c | 595$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.45 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Over | 51c | 546.63$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 490.65$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.14 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 463.13$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.86 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 52c | 426.95$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.21 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 48c | 419.98$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.39 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 50c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 386$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.86 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Over | 52c | 384$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 357.53$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.79 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 357$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.07 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 51c | 327.78$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.17 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 50c | 311.67$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.01 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 52c | 269.15$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.39 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 51c | 267.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.63 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked Over | 52c | 254.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…e589backed Over | 51c | 194.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 52c | 193.52$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Over | 51c | 188.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Over | 52c | 171.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 50c | 159.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 64c | 153.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over | 52c | 143.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Under | 49c | 123.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 40c | 123.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Over | 51c | 113.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 43c | 108.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Over | 51c | 106.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Over | 52c | 104.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…e152backed Over | 52c | 99.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -13.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…a29bbacked Over | 52c | 98.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 62c | 94.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff9…795abacked Under | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 50c | 91.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Over | 51c | 88.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Under | 50c | 85.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7076…7e6cbacked Over | 51c | 85.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 52c | 80.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320d…5060backed Over | 52c | 78.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 31c | 72.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 50c | 68.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cf…6639backed Under | 49c | 65.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…ea8ebacked Over | 51c | 65.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7649…a58dbacked Over | 51c | 61.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 49c | 55.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 50.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed Under | 49c | 49.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 50c | 49.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Devils: O/U 5.5this page
- Red Wings vs. DevilsRed Wings won
- Red Wings vs. Devils: O/U 4.5Under won
- Red Wings vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Red Wings won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.