Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40ad13ee1154649c79979d21df3c560a9cd6dcc037782f2d9dbab2f3311ae492
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $425,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,306 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Yes | 49c | 149,258$72,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,395.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 51c | 56,134$28,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,628.3 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed No | 51c | 41,600$21,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,215.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 49c | 28,116$13,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,339.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 52c | 25,618$13,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,287.37 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 52c | 24,990$12,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,994.73 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed Yes | 49c | 24,000$11,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,239.97 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 20,964$5,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,293.12 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 51c | 18,720$9,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,547.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 51c | 17,686$9,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,019.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 16,487$8,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,437.37 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…e941backed No | 51c | 10,493$5,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,351.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Yes | 49c | 9,922$4,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,060.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed No | 51c | 9,276$4,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,730.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 8,545$4,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,685.7 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 49c | 8,500$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335.01 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Yes | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 73c | 7,559$5,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.09 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 49c | 6,949$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.94 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 6,862$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.62 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 5,926$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.51 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 52c | 4,497$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.98 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 48c | 4,362$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.24 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.83 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 52c | 3,074$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.21 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +7.1wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 51c | 2,986$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 2,982$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.69 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 49c | 2,459$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.18 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 72c | 2,305$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.24 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 1,496$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.34 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 1,492$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.81 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 4c | 1,481$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…e547backed Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 10c | 1,118$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 51c | 841$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 50c | 799.7$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.46 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 51c | 784$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 49c | 683.3$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.48 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 24c | 610.1$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed No | 52c | 539$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed No | 52c | 538.46$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes | 7c | 509.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +505.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed No | 8c | 495.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 23c | 489.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 51c | 450$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 49c | 418$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.24 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 52cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 21c | 386.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed No | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 4c | 383.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 27c | 362.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 51c | 345.2$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.34 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 39c | 332.67$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.81 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 75c | 323.22$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked No | 52c | 307.41$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes | 50c | 302.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 49c | 300$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…8e34backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…5f66backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…72bebacked Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 49c | 279$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.41 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 49c | 271.42$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.43 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 29c | 260.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Yes | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked No | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…4418backed No | 14c | 245.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 51c | 244.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will FC Metz vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Metz win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.