Earnings · resolved market
Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60ae4ea95aad0363b739626b26813c0b76215c14c4e1fff3198b1dd1b9dc5d3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0606…1d57backed No | 32c | 638$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 25c | 259.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…5d91backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 34c | 133$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked Yes | 75c | 131.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 25c | 129.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 69c | 127.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed No | 28c | 122.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…0c1abacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…fa39backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb33e…33b3backed No | 25c | 99.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 30c | 95.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked No | 26c | 87.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 263 | 50.2%132 W · 131 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 29c | 83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 71c | 83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1b…4b36backed Yes | 74c | 80.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c9…60c5backed Yes | 73c | 73.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…7f2dbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed No | 35c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c1…ab48backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…325dbacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd3…7656backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed No | 24c | 49.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…8ba5backed Yes | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 74c | 42.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4164…eff2backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767b…d88abacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9635…6863backed Yes | 74c | 31.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…ea0cbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…9850backed Yes | 79c | 24.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f2…3098backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 68c | 19.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7512…68dfbacked Yes | 72c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…3b81backed Yes | 72c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 71c | 14.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.