NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1f959798950098dc67d9f18cd0e53120aade415769af58a8aadd8a2024942d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,412 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 44c | 113,829$50,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,441.63 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 56c | 67,000$37,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,480 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 56c | 56,169$31,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,714.4 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,499.94 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 56c | 41,560$23,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,286.22 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 44c | 35,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,400 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 28,672$12,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,615.68 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 55c | 27,083$14,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,187.55 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 55c | 25,112$13,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,300.22 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 56c | 6,760$3,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.4 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 44c | 2,900$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.64 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 63c | 2,372$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 1,980$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.18 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Under | 57c | 1,500$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.12 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 44c | 1,171$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.16 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 1,068$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.48 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 55c | 905.21$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.35 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.51 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 56c | 892.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.85 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 45c | 791.44$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.15 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Under | 57c | 789.47$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.47 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 46c | 661.8$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.43 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 56c | 623.95$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.54 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 597.45$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.72 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 44c | 575$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 55c | 472.73$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.73 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 44c | 439.11$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.05 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 58c | 401.3$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.3 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 359.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.61 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 44c | 342.22$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 53c | 282.35$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.44 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Under | 57c | 250$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 44c | 245$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 45c | 244.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.13 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 44c | 240.02$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 56c | 221.93$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 44c | 208.15$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 47c | 205.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e4…4bc7backed Under | 56c | 177.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Over | 46c | 167.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 45c | 165.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 44c | 130.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…18d6backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 44c | 113.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Under | 56c | 107.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…063bbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 30c | 97.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Over | 45c | 92.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 56c | 88.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…6e9ebacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 44c | 86.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 46c | 79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…7042backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 22c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7a…fa0bbacked Under | 69c | 72.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Under | 57c | 63.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…e92bbacked Over | 44c | 62.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Over | 44c | 55.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Over | 44c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 46c | 50.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 55c | 49.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Under | 57c | 48.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…70a9backed Over | 28c | 46.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked Over | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 45.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…9e20backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f60…a419backed Under | 56c | 43.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb298…ef07backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 56c | 41.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Under | 41c | 40.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 44c | 40.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…316abacked Over | 46c | 36.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Under | 56c | 35.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7512…68dfbacked Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…3152backed Under | 57c | 34.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 34.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 44c | 34.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d6…04a8backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…4a4ebacked Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…7199backed Over | 44c | 33.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…508dbacked Over | 45c | 33.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bf…45bdbacked Over | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5this page
- Islanders vs. Maple LeafsIslanders won
- Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.