TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Monte, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,354 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40b0…f139backed Team Falcons59c12,340$7,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,087.266651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons68c8,856$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,856.0232348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Monte56c7,136$4,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,008.2260540%242 W · 363 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons61c4,637$2,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.213,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Falcons61c4,589$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.6864652.8%341 W · 305 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Team Falcons59c4,582$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.7957358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Monte44c4,509$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Team Falcons65c3,933$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.991782.4%14 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+38.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Monte32c3,357$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.663,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9777…6b53backed Monte17c2,979$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49819732.5%64 W · 133 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Monte34c2,931$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Monte47c2,804$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.0382143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5019…74cdbacked Monte14c2,793$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011630.2%35 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Monte35c2,656$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.491,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Monte29c2,321$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.424,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed Monte8c2,202$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.335812.1%7 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Team Falcons75c1,934$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.621042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Team Falcons58c1,745$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.2713954.7%76 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons65c1,711$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.091,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Team Falcons71c1,575$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.4355343.2%239 W · 314 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Monte32c1,348$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.042,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Monte30c1,324$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.076129.5%18 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Team Falcons72c1,311$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.9222254.5%121 W · 101 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Monte44c1,235$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.9133457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Monte28c1,216$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.5520238.6%78 W · 124 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Monte33c1,177$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.237834.6%27 W · 51 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf8f…4136backed Monte17c1,155$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-49.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Team Falcons44c1,150$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6431,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Monte30c1,002$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.721338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x98d9…238abacked Team Falcons70c997.85$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Monte16c989.85$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7345848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Team Falcons68c981.62$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.0462350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecd3…4255backed Monte45c919$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4171625%4 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Monte19c864.2$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.223932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Monte14c850$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11950043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed Team Falcons69c798.58$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5623842.4%101 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Monte38c797.89$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Falcons44c787$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.051,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Monte14c690.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065950.4%332 W · 327 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x553f…99b9backed Team Falcons50c664.03$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.492326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Team Falcons76c605$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6933949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Monte50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Team Falcons70c584.94$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.4436245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8df0…96a6backed Team Falcons65c528.72$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.579264.1%59 W · 33 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ab3…6adfbacked Team Falcons69c522.21$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.314151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Team Falcons67c503.53$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2612752%66 W · 61 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Team Falcons80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009260.9%56 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons61c483.12$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1889546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11b4…7e7bbacked Monte3c442.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.613571.4%25 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Falcons76c424.2$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2639468%268 W · 126 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf27e…2748backed Team Falcons64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.634942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7efc…bea6backed Monte47c346.33$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.782931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Falcons59c337.32$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.341960.9%255 W · 164 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Monte21c323.81$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6815255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Monte32c318.31$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8626836.6%98 W · 170 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed Monte13c314.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7349226%128 W · 364 L-45.2wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x831d…4df9backed Team Falcons60c285.7$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Falcons36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.789353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5862…76abbacked Team Falcons74c270.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.521952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Team Falcons37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.273554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked Team Falcons78c266.82$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.752834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f70…123dbacked Monte39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006026.7%16 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Team Falcons48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.547738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabc8…fd71backed Team Falcons51c209.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.46558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Monte20c200.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0128644.1%126 W · 160 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Monte65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Monte8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16776.5%5 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b3…7c36backed Monte17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc598…b4acbacked Monte19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386237.1%23 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd386…05f2backed Team Falcons44c199.99$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11114360.1%86 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Monte39c195$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.844743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Monte36c186.18$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.29151.6%47 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team Falcons78c168.69$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1146349.9%231 W · 232 L-1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Monte10c159.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5370423.9%168 W · 536 L+2.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Monte17c155$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3598352.4%515 W · 468 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Team Falcons55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.558961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe93f…6769backed Monte68c146.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.925257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92a1…9836backed Team Falcons70c136.77$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.463265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x630b…34ffbacked Team Falcons56c134.54$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.21952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Monte25c133$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5820243.6%88 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Monte12c124.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.976949.3%34 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c2d…d44dbacked Monte22c123$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cfb…f786backed Monte33c121.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013119.8%26 W · 105 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Monte44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010646.2%49 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Team Falcons34c104.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.066621.2%14 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked Monte31c102.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.345145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Team Falcons47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5358651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Monte55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5542057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf808…6e99backed Monte18c99.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9910956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca07…6269backed Team Falcons59c95.15$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.471428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd243…3398backed Monte15c93.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410730.8%33 W · 74 L-12.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x70e0…52fabacked Monte16c87.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x07cd…e51dbacked Team Falcons62c75.26$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.462040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-30.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x497a…650fbacked Team Falcons67c74.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.661145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0a…1595backed Monte19c70.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Team Falcons47c68$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0460147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x079a…8fbabacked Monte31c57.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.632240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaf2…29d6backed Team Falcons79c50.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.671526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed Team Falcons70c49.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1517050.6%86 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10e4…4113backed Team Falcons80c47.84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.572774.1%20 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.