CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b8902d00c861bc83c43b38b298b0ac92e289bbb8ff4a835e9d50fc0fb0505a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Monte, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Team Falcons | 59c | 12,340$7,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,087.26 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 8,856$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.02 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Monte | 56c | 7,136$4,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,008.22 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 61c | 4,637$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.21 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Falcons | 61c | 4,589$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.68 | 646 | 52.8%341 W · 305 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Team Falcons | 59c | 4,582$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.79 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Monte | 44c | 4,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Team Falcons | 65c | 3,933$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.99 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Monte | 32c | 3,357$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.66 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Monte | 17c | 2,979$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Monte | 34c | 2,931$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Monte | 47c | 2,804$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.03 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked Monte | 14c | 2,793$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Monte | 35c | 2,656$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.49 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Monte | 29c | 2,321$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.42 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed Monte | 8c | 2,202$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.33 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 1,934$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.6 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,745$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.27 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 1,711$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.09 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Team Falcons | 71c | 1,575$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.43 | 553 | 43.2%239 W · 314 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Monte | 32c | 1,348$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.04 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Monte | 30c | 1,324$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.07 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Team Falcons | 72c | 1,311$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.92 | 222 | 54.5%121 W · 101 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Monte | 44c | 1,235$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.91 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Monte | 28c | 1,216$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.55 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Monte | 33c | 1,177$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.23 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…4136backed Monte | 17c | 1,155$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Team Falcons | 44c | 1,150$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Monte | 30c | 1,002$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…238abacked Team Falcons | 70c | 997.85$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Monte | 16c | 989.85$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Falcons | 68c | 981.62$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.04 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4255backed Monte | 45c | 919$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Monte | 19c | 864.2$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.2 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Monte | 14c | 850$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed Team Falcons | 69c | 798.58$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.56 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Monte | 38c | 797.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Falcons | 44c | 787$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.05 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Monte | 14c | 690.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 659 | 50.4%332 W · 327 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553f…99b9backed Team Falcons | 50c | 664.03$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.49 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Falcons | 76c | 605$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.69 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked Monte | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 584.94$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.44 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Team Falcons | 65c | 528.72$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.57 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 522.21$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.31 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Team Falcons | 67c | 503.53$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.26 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Team Falcons | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 61c | 483.12$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.18 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b4…7e7bbacked Monte | 3c | 442.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Falcons | 76c | 424.2$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.26 | 394 | 68%268 W · 126 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…2748backed Team Falcons | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7efc…bea6backed Monte | 47c | 346.33$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.78 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Falcons | 59c | 337.32$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 419 | 60.9%255 W · 164 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Monte | 21c | 323.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Monte | 32c | 318.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.86 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Monte | 13c | 314.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 492 | 26%128 W · 364 L | -45.2wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…4df9backed Team Falcons | 60c | 285.7$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5862…76abbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 270.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 266.82$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f70…123dbacked Monte | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed Team Falcons | 51c | 209.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Monte | 20c | 200.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Monte | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Monte | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Monte | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked Monte | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…05f2backed Team Falcons | 44c | 199.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 143 | 60.1%86 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Monte | 39c | 195$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Monte | 36c | 186.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Falcons | 78c | 168.69$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 463 | 49.9%231 W · 232 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Monte | 10c | 159.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 704 | 23.9%168 W · 536 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Monte | 17c | 155$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 983 | 52.4%515 W · 468 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Falcons | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6769backed Monte | 68c | 146.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a1…9836backed Team Falcons | 70c | 136.77$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 134.54$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Monte | 25c | 133$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Monte | 12c | 124.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2d…d44dbacked Monte | 22c | 123$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed Monte | 33c | 121.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…d4f1backed Monte | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Team Falcons | 34c | 104.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Monte | 31c | 102.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Team Falcons | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Monte | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed Monte | 18c | 99.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Team Falcons | 59c | 95.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…3398backed Monte | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…52fabacked Monte | 16c | 87.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…e51dbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 75.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 74.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0a…1595backed Monte | 19c | 70.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…8fbabacked Monte | 31c | 57.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…29d6backed Team Falcons | 79c | 50.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Team Falcons | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…4113backed Team Falcons | 80c | 47.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.