TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Monte, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$243,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$259,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d58…9a15backed Monte17c50,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,60014441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Monte11c26,000$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.9957647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked Monte15c23,896$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x394c…0c58backed Monte10c8,771$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.2650%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0aa7…1ad7backed Monte9c7,617$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6571020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe10…95cbbacked Monte10c5,560$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick24cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Monte8c5,156$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.5713043.1%56 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Monte12c4,954$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.311,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d9…238abacked Monte12c4,124$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9777…6b53backed Monte5c4,032$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5819732.5%64 W · 133 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Monte0c3,893$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.357625%19 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-56.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Monte13c3,270$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.091,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Monte10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Monte5c2,791$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1286437.5%24 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Monte10c2,711$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6345848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Monte10c2,536$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Monte10c2,277$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.739239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Monte20c1,973$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40044743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc598…b4acbacked Monte9c1,744$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.026237.1%23 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5019…74cdbacked Monte10c1,728$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17011630.2%35 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Monte10c1,681$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.15,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Monte10c1,540$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9953746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf27e…2748backed Monte10c1,539$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6857…9f77backed Monte13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003414.7%5 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Monte13c1,478$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1891,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x680e…5075backed Monte10c1,007$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.711931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd13e…ca33backed Monte8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809826.5%26 W · 72 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Monte9c999.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Monte10c999.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Monte10c852.93$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.826949.3%34 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf8f…4136backed Monte24c848.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-49.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Monte6c830.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.297834.6%27 W · 51 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Monte14c803.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0547738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb70…7fabbacked Monte15c799.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-40.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf808…6e99backed Monte10c700$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Monte15c648.43$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4916146%74 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Monte10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed Monte5c600$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3124746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Monte12c546.4$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.051,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Monte13c509.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.730335.6%108 W · 195 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Monte10c500.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5197230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Monte25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c2…68b1backed Monte10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Monte9c439.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.625941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa10…3fc9backed Monte10c330.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.182711.1%3 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-73.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Monte10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3097040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfda5…53d7backed Monte12c295.87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Monte5c275.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.381,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Monte10c274.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4816527.9%46 W · 119 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c21…c02bbacked Monte11c265.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8611734.2%40 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Monte10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2566034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x635f…92f3backed Monte6c245.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.264557.8%26 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+38.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5b3…7c36backed Team Falcons20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Monte10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b8…5d35backed Monte8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1636437.4%136 W · 228 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f7…02d5backed Monte25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Monte11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2228644.1%126 W · 160 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11b4…7e7bbacked Monte8c196.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153571.4%25 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Monte11c187.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4720238.6%78 W · 124 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef0…eba7backed Monte19c182.42$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344040%16 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7c…5947backed Monte9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158629.1%25 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Monte10c159.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.89137.4%34 W · 57 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Monte9c158.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1424250.8%123 W · 119 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x110c…d9c6backed Monte10c155.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158733.3%29 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5565…7693backed Monte10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153636.1%13 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf5…0a68backed Monte12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98e…2827backed Monte10c140$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Monte18c134.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.331933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Monte10c110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1198052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d8…3fd4backed Monte11c106.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.763033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Monte12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd1…7edabacked Monte20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x360e…0a11backed Monte10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Monte14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1460147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c7e…8c70backed Team Falcons70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Monte10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbc2…4bc8backed Monte11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Team Falcons20c93.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0910111.9%12 W · 89 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e6…1dccbacked Monte11c92.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.683525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed Team Falcons80c90$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1816950.9%86 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e21…4dccbacked Team Falcons78c89.55$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.086459.4%38 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Monte15c84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.482,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xad08…c58bbacked Monte23c54.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.