CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e817527532715763900ef6d787e5764dbe8f9b7d8ca8556aaa35ed9ee278f02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 35c | 1,299$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.66 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Under | 76c | 984.03$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.04 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 64c | 656.99$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.78 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 29c | 439.6$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.32 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Under | 76c | 397.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 372.79$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.81 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Over | 29c | 344.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed Under | 74c | 300.13$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 237.52$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.55 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 36c | 215.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Under | 64c | 185$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 40c | 176.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Under | 70c | 166.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Under | 75c | 165.07$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed Under | 71c | 71.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…e7acbacked Over | 30c | 50.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Under | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…b4c0backed Over | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 70c | 29.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 68c | 24.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.