CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1fd360a2262001059d2fd2711d6b0d8a5dffd3b67f4288445c879f6f3bf34ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Monte, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked Monte | 24c | 7,654$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.15 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Monte | 17c | 4,651$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.71 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 68c | 4,571$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.11 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Monte | 0c | 3,950$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked Monte | 17c | 3,793$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.66 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Team Falcons | 66c | 3,343$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.7 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Team Falcons | 68c | 3,100$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.99 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 2,499$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.75 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed Monte | 3c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Monte | 30c | 1,701$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.77 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f70…123dbacked Monte | 13c | 1,280$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.73 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Monte | 17c | 1,262$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.89 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Monte | 9c | 1,200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Monte | 18c | 1,164$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.19 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Monte | 17c | 1,118$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Monte | 40c | 1,000$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.33 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Monte | 15c | 999.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Monte | 10c | 899.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked Monte | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.8 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Monte | 17c | 737$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Monte | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…2fbabacked Team Falcons | 78c | 639.32$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Monte | 31c | 630.77$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.26 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Monte | 19c | 621.05$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Monte | 13c | 589.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Monte | 17c | 553.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 210 | 55.7%117 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Monte | 9c | 539.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Monte | 28c | 510.86$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.57 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Monte | 9c | 500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Monte | 17c | 499.76$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 399.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 76c | 375.82$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.33 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Monte | 33c | 372$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.35 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 67c | 370.22$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11b4…7e7bbacked Monte | 17c | 360.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…3a19backed Monte | 28c | 348.21$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Falcons | 78c | 336$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…54f8backed Monte | 13c | 322.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110c…d9c6backed Monte | 20c | 309.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 307.25$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Team Falcons | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 294.93$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…4df9backed Team Falcons | 69c | 288.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed Monte | 30c | 248.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Monte | 31c | 214.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…8b56backed Monte | 15c | 200.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5862…76abbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Monte | 19c | 139.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Monte | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…52fabacked Monte | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…8f19backed Monte | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Monte | 27c | 107.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Monte | 19c | 105.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Monte | 29c | 105.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Monte | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42af…15f7backed Monte | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Monte | 34c | 80.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Monte | 29c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Monte | 24c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Team Falcons | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Team Falcons | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Monte | 32c | 41.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Monte | 31c | 35.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 33.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…7e2ebacked Team Falcons | 67c | 32.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…13cdbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…c013backed Team Falcons | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Team Falcons | 68c | 21.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Falcons | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2aa…8f55backed Team Falcons | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.