Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d7576138b2702a5cf0569ce391898b2d43651a31f623e17a1f64abb014ab991
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secret Whalesof Team Secret Whales, Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 49c | 2,470$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.46 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…e578backed Team Secret Whales | 67c | 1,860$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 1c | 1,268$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 7c | 1,200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 23c | 1,038$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.88 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f9…7d78backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Secret Whales | 50c | 798$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…9d0fbacked Team Secret Whales | 80c | 681.32$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ce…006bbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 158 | 46.2%73 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Team Secret Whales | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 31c | 284.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Team Secret Whales | 65c | 253.74$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…1094backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 36c | 240$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 206 | 21.8%45 W · 161 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Secret Whales | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 189 | 14.8%28 W · 161 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 28c | 188$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…f1ccbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 40c | 153.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…233cbacked Team Secret Whales | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…c580backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 25c | 133$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Team Secret Whales | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Team Secret Whales | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd198…8797backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…9bf0backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401b…4e00backed Team Secret Whales | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Team Secret Whales | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…d557backed Team Secret Whales | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7512…68dfbacked Team Secret Whales | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5)Team Secret Whales won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3)Team Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.