Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa31a52f883e51787d47e6a7b60893fb158b990745dd7a13d5dda688f23bbe5ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secret Whalesof Team Secret Whales, Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9a9…3ba9backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 3c | 2,793$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 338 | 45.3%153 W · 185 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 11c | 2,619$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.96 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 10c | 1,656$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.57 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d2…75f2backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 12c | 1,373$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 20cpaid | +223.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 6c | 1,294$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 259 | 23.2%60 W · 199 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 11c | 1,246$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ce…006bbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 5c | 1,125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 12c | 945.83$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 13c | 799.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e64…8e3ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 11c | 764$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 11c | 699.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…9fbbbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 11c | 515$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 8c | 511$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 189 | 14.8%28 W · 161 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 10c | 298.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 5c | 271$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…eb9dbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 15c | 245.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 13c | 229.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…62d5backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 13c | 184.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 226 | 36.7%83 W · 143 L | -16.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebe…4f7fbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 13c | 149.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 18c | 109$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e89…bb29backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 12c | 86.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 15c | 83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 20c | 73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 30c | 66.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 346 | 31.2%108 W · 238 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfa…3d92backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 25c | 60.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Team Secret Whales | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3)this page
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5)Team Secret Whales won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.