Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x717c227f9775e551995839acf31935f9abff6934ac7a1da680af6589f09cfeb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secret Whalesof Team Secret Whales, Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 0c | 4,675$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f9…7d78backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 4c | 561.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 26c | 550$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 158 | 46.2%73 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 26c | 313.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Team Secret Whales | 64c | 293.72$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Secret Whales | 72c | 256.59$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Team Secret Whales | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…aca1backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 60c | 167.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 22c | 149.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…241dbacked Team Secret Whales | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…9698backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 25c | 133$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 11c | 110.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 37c | 107.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 247 | 36%89 W · 158 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b27…add3backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 98.85$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 41.2%87 W · 124 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Secret Whales | 75c | 69.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Team Secret Whales | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Team Secret Whales | 80c | 36.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 1,183 | 52%615 W · 568 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…b35dbacked Team Secret Whales | 75c | 30.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5)Team Secret Whales won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3)Team Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.