Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a3344ef24c8735400c43b7f58fcbb4f750aef2bfc7c6a3bccd093b2522c7495
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora | 34c | 14,557$4,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,962.58 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…8919backed Aurora | 1c | 12,096$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 11,839$7,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650.16 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…9c53backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 8,788$5,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Aurora | 34c | 7,965$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.4 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…5e7abacked Aurora | 25c | 7,953$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.79 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked Aurora | 19c | 7,122$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.89 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 7,088$5,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.94 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Aurora | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 5,700$3,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.54 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Aurora | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 3,637$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.44 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 3,359$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.18 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bec…3cd1backed Aurora | 3c | 3,130$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.49 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…fec3backed Aurora | 33c | 3,015$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.77 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Aurora | 12c | 2,583$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aurora | 29c | 2,549$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.64 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 2,513$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.89 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Aurora | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora | 39c | 2,358$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.16 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 15c | 2,243$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.79 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Aurora | 8c | 2,173$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.85 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Aurora | 11c | 1,833$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,785$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.25 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora | 37c | 1,750$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Aurora | 15c | 1,725$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.8 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Aurora | 9c | 1,711$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.47 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked Aurora | 24c | 1,698$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d7…1c0bbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,620$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora | 22c | 1,612$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.13 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora | 39c | 1,454$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.09 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Aurora | 18c | 1,427$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.78 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 1,381$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Aurora | 10c | 1,360$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.03 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Aurora | 26c | 1,346$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Aurora | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Aurora | 14c | 1,270$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.7 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 1,258$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.75 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Aurora | 7c | 1,128$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Aurora | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Aurora | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5a…b691backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 997.3$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.35 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked Aurora | 6c | 939.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Aurora | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd90c…b513backed Aurora | 27c | 934.18$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 896.62$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…c99dbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 865.76$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Aurora | 10c | 824.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.15 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f1…fa00backed Aurora | 19c | 818.06$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.02 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Aurora | 7c | 814.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Aurora | 26c | 787.7$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.16 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Aurora | 26c | 774.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 21c | 770.43$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.1 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Aurora | 14c | 736.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Aurora | 39c | 699.99$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 690.29$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.11 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Aurora | 38c | 673.62$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.98 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Aurora | 8c | 666$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…f493backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 638.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…bf78backed Aurora | 31c | 631.23$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Aurora | 14c | 610.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…ad17backed Aurora | 36c | 582.87$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 572.1$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.23 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Aurora | 33c | 563.51$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Aurora | 9c | 519.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…2c43backed Aurora | 26c | 500$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Aurora | 24c | 483.46$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.82 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Aurora | 33c | 462.35$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Aurora | 20c | 459.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Aurora | 22c | 455.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Aurora | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…72afbacked Aurora | 34c | 448.76$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.58 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Aurora | 28c | 445.93$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51a8…0e31backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 441.29$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 413.1$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.11 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 399.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 396.3$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…b816backed Aurora | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8875…7548backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 377.02$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.04 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora | 26c | 368.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 367.06$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…3f07backed Aurora | 3c | 347.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 11c | 328.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…1e76backed Aurora | 15c | 326.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Aurora | 17c | 312.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ff…82cfbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 308.63$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…0855backed Aurora | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Aurora | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Aurora | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Aurora | 5c | 292.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 8cpaid | +405.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…216bbacked Aurora | 12c | 282.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…8063backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 278.75$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9604…1872backed Aurora | 28c | 235.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 3 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-2.5) vs Aurora (+2.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.