Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x751cf300492287dabb1e0a82618a949c5da7b8aded60d59923cbb7943a4b1944
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 22,397$13,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,172.81 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 21,436$12,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,799.41 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 40c | 12,369$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.45 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Aurora | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Aurora | 40c | 7,800$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.99 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 7,799$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.69 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Aurora | 41c | 6,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.99 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 38c | 5,940$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.22 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Aurora | 45c | 5,601$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked Aurora | 31c | 5,230$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 5,118$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.82 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 4,801$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.23 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 27c | 3,935$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.81 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 3,783$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.26 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Aurora | 43c | 2,845$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.97 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Aurora | 41c | 2,812$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.33 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Aurora | 3c | 2,806$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Aurora | 43c | 2,633$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 2,503$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.91 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 2c | 2,500$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Aurora | 41c | 2,490$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 2,210$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.87 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 46c | 2,083$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora | 41c | 2,023$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.58 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 1,773$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.5 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,633$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.28 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Aurora | 1c | 1,600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Aurora | 12c | 1,600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Aurora | 28c | 1,500$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.5 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Aurora | 43c | 1,477$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.7 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,453$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.63 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 30c | 1,450$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.5 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Aurora | 26c | 1,132$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…2d20backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,109$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.62 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Aurora | 40c | 1,055$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.92 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 42c | 1,049$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.9 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 1,009$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Aurora | 31c | 1,008$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.48 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Aurora | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Aurora | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Aurora | 44c | 917.14$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Aurora | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Aurora | 40c | 879.99$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Aurora | 43c | 851.99$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.36 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Aurora | 29c | 834.5$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.66 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Aurora | 41c | 829.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.29 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 825.63$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.24 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 800$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 728.81$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.73 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 34c | 714.26$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.44 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed Aurora | 42c | 713.6$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Aurora | 41c | 703.97$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Aurora | 43c | 699.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Aurora | 41c | 654.72$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.89 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Aurora | 2c | 637.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Aurora | 41c | 593.61$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.11 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Aurora | 9c | 550.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Aurora | 41c | 519$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.79 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Aurora | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Aurora | 28c | 500$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Aurora | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Aurora | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Aurora | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 42c | 480.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 460.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.86 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…eabcbacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 460$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Aurora | 42c | 436$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.12 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Aurora | 47c | 427.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 406.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Aurora | 17c | 400$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Aurora | 43c | 380$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…6f25backed Aurora | 37c | 370.51$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.09 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed Aurora | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Aurora | 44c | 354.59$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.02 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…532fbacked Aurora | 43c | 346.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…3cedbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 345.4$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.85 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…b386backed Aurora | 6c | 316.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 321 | 54.8%176 W · 145 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…8602backed Aurora | 42c | 309.73$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Aurora | 40c | 300$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 291.67$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 9c | 285.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 283.45$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora | 42c | 280$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked Aurora | 43c | 276.38$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.84 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Aurora | 32c | 265.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Aurora | 42c | 245$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Aurora | 43c | 244.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Aurora | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…5473backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 195$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Aurora | 26c | 191.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed1c…0379backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague PlayoffsTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 3 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-2.5) vs Aurora (+2.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.