Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x238f7145bda54da60d504603eb67309c9db1865f706caacbbc35a2c712cd12f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $379,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $453,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 39c | 60,891$23,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,916.67 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 29,091$14,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,165.68 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 27,352$17,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,846.74 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 25,029$14,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,041.78 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 22,428$13,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,526.02 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Aurora | 76c | 16,224$12,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,276.32 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked Aurora | 43c | 13,455$5,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,828.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Aurora | 34c | 12,858$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310.05 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Aurora | 52c | 8,385$4,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,327.41 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 7,703$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,203.29 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Aurora | 40c | 6,314$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.96 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Aurora | 40c | 6,300$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…fec3backed Aurora | 49c | 6,084$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora | 41c | 6,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 38c | 5,430$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.77 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Aurora | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Aurora | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.99 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 3,715$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.33 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84c4…abaebacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 3,510$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 45c | 3,336$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 48c | 3,310$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.23 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 3,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657e…9fa5backed Aurora | 15c | 2,985$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Aurora | 42c | 2,972$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.12 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 2,940$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.8 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 2,804$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.61 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Aurora | 46c | 2,466$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.28 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Aurora | 41c | 2,450$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.49 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Aurora | 36c | 2,441$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.13 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Aurora | 37c | 2,153$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Aurora | 52c | 2,150$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.9 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Aurora | 5c | 2,100$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…2d20backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 2,038$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.22 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 2,009$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.85 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 1,850$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Aurora | 52c | 1,818$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.63 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 26c | 1,738$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.46 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 35c | 1,733$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.83 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,697$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.2 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Aurora | 29c | 1,658$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.43 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,655$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.78 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 45c | 1,593$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.18 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,429$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.73 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,379$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.67 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,348$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.13 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,260$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.03 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora | 37c | 1,224$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.82 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Aurora | 73c | 1,152$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,150$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…3af1backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 1,111$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Aurora | 49c | 1,070$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.7 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,020$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.74 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…2825backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,000$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Aurora | 55c | 1,000$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.82 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa257…ea6ebacked Aurora | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 953.76$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.15 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4367…e904backed Aurora | 52c | 953.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 953.21$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.57 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 940.34$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.82 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Aurora | 35c | 926.16$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.09 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Aurora | 27c | 904.78$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.82 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 900.81$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.34 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Aurora | 56c | 898.11$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.94 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Aurora | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 881.99$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.16 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.58 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 782.53$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.09 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f5…7b42backed Aurora | 77c | 766.77$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Aurora | 46c | 753.16$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.21 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Aurora | 42c | 730.01$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.6 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 41c | 707.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.69 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 691.63$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.22 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd248…73d9backed Aurora | 43c | 691.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Aurora | 27c | 675.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Tundra Esports | 21c | 642.97$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.37 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Tundra Esports | 29c | 639.72$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.2 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 627.38$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.38 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Aurora | 49c | 614.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 613$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.98 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 610.38$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.74 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Tundra Esports | 23c | 600$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…b31cbacked Aurora | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 597.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.98 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…951cbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 597.46$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.94 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f5…795bbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 562.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.01 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 553.13$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.97 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Aurora | 41c | 506.88$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.19 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Aurora | 26c | 482.71$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 476.01$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.08 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 465$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.9 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Aurora | 41c | 451$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.91 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 446$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.58 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Tundra Esports | 23c | 442.61$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.81 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Tundra Esports | 27c | 422.09$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.09 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tundra Esports | 24c | 420.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.46 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Tundra Esports | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague PlayoffsTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 3 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-2.5) vs Aurora (+2.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.