Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c8a57379efd7c8d9a3ef786d9ae01e30f85a6619e8d6af6a1935e74d65baf2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Tundra Esports, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 35,685$18,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,463.43 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 39c | 23,564$9,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,474.02 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 6c | 18,580$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.96 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora | 48c | 17,605$8,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.5 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Aurora | 39c | 16,830$6,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,267.83 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 12,865$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.93 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 12,000$7,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,407.66 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Tundra Esports | 0c | 10,600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Aurora | 40c | 7,503$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,501.5 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 7,453$4,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,471.5 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 5,636$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.6 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Aurora | 39c | 5,558$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.58 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Tundra Esports | 9c | 5,281$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 4,096$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Aurora | 40c | 3,345$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.87 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Tundra Esports | 18c | 3,300$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…2d20backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 3,163$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 3,096$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.3 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Tundra Esports | 13c | 2,962$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.12 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c4…abaebacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 2,652$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Aurora | 37c | 2,347$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.43 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 2,346$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.63 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 2,143$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.39 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 2,035$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Aurora | 39c | 2,018$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.55 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Tundra Esports | 19c | 1,900$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Tundra Esports | 32c | 1,800$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 1,654$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.2 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Tundra Esports | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Aurora | 37c | 1,515$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.17 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 36c | 1,390$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.8 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Tundra Esports | 3c | 1,378$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Aurora | 70c | 1,246$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.07 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,218$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.05 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,084$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.92 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Tundra Esports | 18c | 1,024$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.82 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,002$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.18 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Aurora | 47c | 1,001$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.91 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 967.31$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.11 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Tundra Esports | 19c | 864.54$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 37c | 799.97$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.98 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…886abacked Tundra Esports | 12c | 799$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 795.56$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…1e76backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 794.22$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Aurora | 45c | 791.67$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.89 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Aurora | 37c | 789.96$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.67 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 717$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.88 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Aurora | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tundra Esports | 18c | 672.3$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.02 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora | 39c | 663$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.63 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 60c | 634.52$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.81 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 630$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Aurora | 41c | 600$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Aurora | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…05e5backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 584.57$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…2408backed Tundra Esports | 2c | 569.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 550$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 38c | 512.67$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.85 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Tundra Esports | 16c | 500$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Aurora | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Tundra Esports | 17c | 488.83$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Aurora | 42c | 470.27$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.27 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Aurora | 36c | 451.12$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.72 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 450$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 432.61$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.44 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Aurora | 36c | 400$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.7 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Tundra Esports | 18c | 388.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…9773backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 374.17$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Tundra Esports | 29c | 349.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Aurora | 41c | 348.56$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.65 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Aurora | 58c | 345.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.42 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Aurora | 46c | 328.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.21 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Tundra Esports | 18c | 315$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Aurora | 41c | 309.14$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.14 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 308.81$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.21 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Aurora | 59c | 305.81$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Aurora | 67c | 284$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed Aurora | 37c | 267.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.57 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…5403backed Aurora | 69c | 266.48$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…951cbacked Aurora | 77c | 265.87$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Aurora | 75c | 265.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 251.77$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 249.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.35 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 246.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 73c | 212.46$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 206$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Aurora | 38c | 202.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.83 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Aurora | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Aurora | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…b787backed Aurora | 78c | 199.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…3cedbacked Aurora | 42c | 193.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Aurora | 79c | 189$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Aurora | 47c | 188.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked Aurora | 74c | 183.78$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Tundra Esports | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague PlayoffsTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-2.5) vs Aurora (+2.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.