Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1c215e86a39a5fcc5c6b58365e4eb0951c9f28badbe891edf84d78f05168a8b

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Aurora
Resolved: Mar 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $231,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $283,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,876 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed Tundra Esports	57c	17,449$9,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,549.12	545	56.5%308 W · 237 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Aurora	40c	13,737$5,482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,482.38	426	50%213 W · 213 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports	60c	11,989$7,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,810.75	551	57%314 W · 237 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe045…6ce2backed Aurora	0c	11,010$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.99	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Aurora	40c	10,343$4,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,186.27	199	43.2%86 W · 113 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Aurora	19c	10,090$1,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,935.3	396	60.1%238 W · 158 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Aurora	43c	9,000$3,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,870	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Aurora	9c	5,717$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-4.3wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Aurora	26c	5,320$1,383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,383.22	656	25.6%168 W · 488 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Aurora	35c	5,051$1,768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,767.69	204	52.9%108 W · 96 L	-10.7wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Tundra Esports	60c	4,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,600	95	57.9%55 W · 40 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Aurora	12c	3,760$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.08	400	14.8%59 W · 341 L	+11.2wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports	64c	3,709$2,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,339.68	328	54.9%180 W · 148 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb4…00eabacked Tundra Esports	60c	3,333$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,333.32	59	64.4%38 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Tundra Esports	61c	3,277$1,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,278.28	191	48.7%93 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora	9c	3,268$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.55	920	56.4%519 W · 401 L	+78.3wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c52…e75fbacked Aurora	2c	3,222$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.97	137	32.8%45 W · 92 L	+8.0wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora	6c	2,984$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.09	804	43.9%353 W · 451 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Tundra Esports	71c	2,759$1,956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$803.06	186	61.8%115 W · 71 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Aurora	2c	2,615$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	338	45.6%154 W · 184 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports	67c	2,532$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$832.45	534	51.7%276 W · 258 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x657e…9fa5backed Aurora	1c	2,348$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…f8fabacked Tundra Esports	63c	2,200$1,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$813.99	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Aurora	43c	2,000$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860	647	44.4%287 W · 360 L	+13.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked Aurora	18c	1,890$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.58	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Tundra Esports	61c	1,830$1,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.2	399	36.8%147 W · 252 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc924…8276backed Aurora	1c	1,410$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.7	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0856…2d20backed Tundra Esports	60c	1,391$835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.43	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Tundra Esports	60c	1,309$785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.44	536	52.6%282 W · 254 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd248…73d9backed Aurora	4c	1,263$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Aurora	15c	1,248$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.04	774	58.5%453 W · 321 L	+75.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd12d…f0dbbacked Aurora	17c	1,211$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	149	56.4%84 W · 65 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Aurora	45c	1,150$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.5	421	45.4%191 W · 230 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports	60c	1,100$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439	881	66.7%588 W · 293 L	+76.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Aurora	41c	1,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	206	42.2%87 W · 119 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked Aurora	20c	989.47$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.42	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Aurora	41c	975.61$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x217f…5d10backed Aurora	22c	958.94$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.88	91	28.6%26 W · 65 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Aurora	5c	949.49$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.13	336	45.5%153 W · 183 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Aurora	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	103	34%35 W · 68 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a65…ffcdbacked Aurora	39c	792.99$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.27	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports	66c	792.63$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.9	666	62.2%414 W · 252 L	+60.2wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Aurora	26c	782.39$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	166	41.6%69 W · 97 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c29…21aabacked Tundra Esports	65c	769.23$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.23	80	60%48 W · 32 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Aurora	39c	765.77$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-5.9wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-33%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Aurora	15c	765.71$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.71	286	50%143 W · 143 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora	23c	710$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.8	605	52.6%318 W · 287 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Aurora	33c	706.14$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.67	330	41.8%138 W · 192 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports	74c	681.92$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.67	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x649d…ec03backed Tundra Esports	60c	666.67$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.67	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora	24c	654.41$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.15	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Aurora	35c	599.99$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78db…4d37backed Aurora	19c	562.68$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.91	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora	21c	550$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.5	606	46.9%284 W · 322 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports	71c	543.09$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.6	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed Tundra Esports	59c	508.47$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.47	106	45.3%48 W · 58 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed Aurora	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	101	41.6%42 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Tundra Esports	63c	478.1$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.1	164	40.2%66 W · 98 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora	13c	473.25$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.23	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Aurora	39c	442.84$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.71	295	48.5%143 W · 152 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Aurora	18c	433.33$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	1,137	42.3%481 W · 656 L	-27.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Tundra Esports	67c	432.52$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.34	129	48.1%62 W · 67 L	-9.3wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Aurora	36c	422.16$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	81	50.6%41 W · 40 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Aurora	42c	401.73$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.73	176	51.1%90 W · 86 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Aurora	35c	397.04$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.55	737	43.6%321 W · 416 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Aurora	43c	357.99$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.94	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Tundra Esports	57c	350.88$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.88	269	57.6%155 W · 114 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora	41c	350$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.5	810	29.4%238 W · 572 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Aurora	21c	304.61$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.5	576	54.5%314 W · 262 L	+29.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3fb…19c0backed Tundra Esports	59c	300$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked Tundra Esports	60c	300$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	88	54.5%48 W · 40 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Aurora	37c	270.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	641	49.9%320 W · 321 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Aurora	39c	258.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	538	44.4%239 W · 299 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Tundra Esports	79c	253.75$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.75	353	70%247 W · 106 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	69cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Aurora	40c	250$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	807	42.6%344 W · 463 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Tundra Esports	65c	230.77$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.77	554	57.8%320 W · 234 L	+12.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Aurora	18c	216.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	459	51.9%238 W · 221 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5b…0b0ebacked Aurora	19c	205.2$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a60…3170backed Tundra Esports	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-6.4wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Aurora	43c	200$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	483	52.4%253 W · 230 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x022d…d8cebacked Aurora	37c	189.73$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Tundra Esports	59c	185.99$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.65	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0030…04e9backed Aurora	13c	178.98$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.76	341	52.2%178 W · 163 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e77…6762backed Aurora	28c	175$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+3.2wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked Aurora	14c	169.98$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.59	213	50.7%108 W · 105 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Aurora	19c	166.71$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.07	641	23.4%150 W · 491 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fea…9bdbbacked Aurora	44c	159.09$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Aurora	20c	150$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	536	34%182 W · 354 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed Aurora	14c	148.78$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	400	47.5%190 W · 210 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Tundra Esports	68c	146.38$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.38	16	81.3%13 W · 3 L	+3.5wins	+0.22per pick	59cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed Aurora	41c	146$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.86	225	34.2%77 W · 148 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d99…faa2backed Tundra Esports	58c	138.1$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+5.4wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+43.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed Aurora	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	65	66.2%43 W · 22 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe180…889bbacked Tundra Esports	76c	131.71$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.71	124	56.5%70 W · 54 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…532fbacked Aurora	39c	130.05$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.67	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Aurora	21c	129.14$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f5…40d7backed Aurora	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.9	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf82b…5211backed Aurora	16c	123.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c0…23d8backed Aurora	41c	121.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	239	57.3%137 W · 102 L	+8.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b31…470bbacked Tundra Esports	76c	119.29$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.63	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	63cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague PlayoffsTundra Esports won
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 3 WinnerAurora won
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 WinnerTundra Esports won
Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
Game Handicap: Tundra (-2.5) vs Aurora (+2.5)Aurora won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event