TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Kigali: Stefano Napolitano vs Luka Mikrut

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stefano Napolitanoof Stefano Napolitano, Luka Mikrut
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,198
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,198 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85d7…0501backed Stefano Napolitano30c49,656$15,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,611.113073.3%22 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Luka Mikrut71c27,120$19,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,147.772,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Luka Mikrut65c15,432$10,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,065.582,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Luka Mikrut49c14,735$7,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,238.3255646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Luka Mikrut71c6,967$4,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,930.818,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Stefano Napolitano31c5,977$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.072,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Stefano Napolitano42c5,519$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,198.5181349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Stefano Napolitano28c4,139$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,991.480938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Stefano Napolitano53c2,069$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.1820155.7%112 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Stefano Napolitano51c1,991$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.533,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Stefano Napolitano30c1,968$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.8413439.6%53 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Stefano Napolitano21c1,364$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.9225134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Luka Mikrut48c1,235$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5931,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b54…b910backed Stefano Napolitano12c1,200$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick22cpaid+79.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked Stefano Napolitano20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8006553.8%35 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Luka Mikrut72c613.88$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.3117552.6%92 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Stefano Napolitano37c597.48$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.411,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Stefano Napolitano34c580.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.1559165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Luka Mikrut62c542.78$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.8447057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Luka Mikrut60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Stefano Napolitano49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25517149.1%84 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Luka Mikrut65c459.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30052460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Luka Mikrut41c451.87$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8412952.7%68 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Luka Mikrut42c400.48$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.21,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Luka Mikrut63c387.3$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2441,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Luka Mikrut48c362.66$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17527935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc4…b0b5backed Stefano Napolitano13c356$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.722010%2 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fc3…675bbacked Stefano Napolitano70c349.42$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4213763.5%87 W · 50 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Stefano Napolitano34c324.98$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.964742.6%20 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Stefano Napolitano31c323.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.0629637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Luka Mikrut63c312$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.561,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Stefano Napolitano32c309.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.7747946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Luka Mikrut67c296.4$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.146,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Stefano Napolitano37c286.61$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.443042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Luka Mikrut36c280.31$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9113648.5%66 W · 70 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Stefano Napolitano38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Luka Mikrut70c242.13$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.338460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Stefano Napolitano42c241.71$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3161953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Stefano Napolitano18c228.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.091,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed Stefano Napolitano22c227.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.745736.8%21 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Luka Mikrut72c223.79$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.131,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Stefano Napolitano35c210.85$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3145147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Luka Mikrut72c210.36$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4624060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc067…e97cbacked Luka Mikrut64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1286953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae71…8488backed Luka Mikrut73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1461618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-69.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xaa08…d98abacked Luka Mikrut79c190.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024962.2%155 W · 94 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Stefano Napolitano44c182.12$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.62,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Stefano Napolitano34c177.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.187,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6249…cee9backed Luka Mikrut66c173.08$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2312057.5%69 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Luka Mikrut54c151.07$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.572,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Luka Mikrut55c136.83$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7553752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Luka Mikrut73c135.19$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6418863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0e…bb40backed Luka Mikrut39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504930.6%15 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Stefano Napolitano21c126$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.542,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Luka Mikrut73c121.94$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0643058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Stefano Napolitano14c107.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.141,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e3…40a0backed Luka Mikrut60c106.3$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4311759.8%70 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7027…fababacked Stefano Napolitano38c105.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.465860.3%35 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Luka Mikrut63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6377967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Luka Mikrut79c98.17$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8914161.7%87 W · 54 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd6…05cbbacked Stefano Napolitano17c90.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.764658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed Stefano Napolitano23c89.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.578231.7%26 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf73…53edbacked Luka Mikrut71c85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Luka Mikrut34c83.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.011,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Stefano Napolitano54c80.81$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4224244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3754…9c94backed Luka Mikrut42c77.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Stefano Napolitano50c77$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.725352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Luka Mikrut34c74.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531339.9%125 W · 188 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b6…84bebacked Luka Mikrut63c71$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Stefano Napolitano39c69$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3954434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Stefano Napolitano29c67.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.363616.7%6 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-53.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Luka Mikrut62c65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.321,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x319e…de42backed Luka Mikrut64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016552.1%86 W · 79 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Luka Mikrut49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Luka Mikrut48c60.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.859954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Stefano Napolitano39c55.39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9212245.1%55 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed Luka Mikrut51c54.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.847441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Stefano Napolitano47c54.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9115248.7%74 W · 78 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Luka Mikrut62c51.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.641,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Luka Mikrut68c50.22$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2615650%78 W · 78 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9548…1226backed Luka Mikrut40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207875.6%59 W · 19 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Stefano Napolitano44c44.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2520847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1c…35c6backed Luka Mikrut56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…fb49backed Stefano Napolitano39c44$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.96634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Stefano Napolitano50c41.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.621,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Luka Mikrut65c41.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.921,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31e5…e2a2backed Luka Mikrut64c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.619762.9%124 W · 73 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca3…483abacked Luka Mikrut67c38.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.728252.4%43 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-17%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Stefano Napolitano37c36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6818233.5%61 W · 121 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Luka Mikrut34c35.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123616.7%6 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-59.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Luka Mikrut61c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3524563.3%155 W · 90 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfa…1f89backed Luka Mikrut74c34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Luka Mikrut62c33.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.937,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Luka Mikrut71c32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7212664.3%81 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Luka Mikrut64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x94d4…a896backed Luka Mikrut66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209652.1%50 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x474f…8ec6backed Luka Mikrut63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.93951.3%20 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb68…c695backed Luka Mikrut71c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.33043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa75…9dc9backed Stefano Napolitano51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Luka Mikrut62c27.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1758067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.