NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Predators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b3889c7c9ebfc96796223754f6dfe63d219b75d88ebea4fa0ba62e1a2bc8d82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Golden Knights, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $849,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $849,480 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 418 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Predators | 42c | 456,533$193,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262,789.34 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights | 56c | 186,763$105,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,288.73 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Golden Knights | 25c | 160,000$39,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,800 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 94,824$54,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,997.83 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Golden Knights | 58c | 60,000$34,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,800 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 41,026$23,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,794.89 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Predators | 54c | 28,313$15,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,001.05 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Golden Knights | 43c | 20,665$8,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,810.9 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Predators | 76c | 10,100$7,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.61 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Golden Knights | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.92 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Predators | 78c | 9,644$7,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.31 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Predators | 58c | 7,993$4,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…c36abacked Predators | 45c | 7,799$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,289.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Predators | 46c | 7,751$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,190.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +95%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Golden Knights | 57c | 6,267$3,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.33 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Predators | 42c | 5,849$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,391.7 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Golden Knights | 3c | 5,550$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.66 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…eb52backed Predators | 45c | 5,480$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c11…939abacked Golden Knights | 55c | 5,380$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Predators | 61c | 4,952$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Golden Knights | 56c | 4,883$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.39 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Predators | 43c | 4,541$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.62 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae9…6366backed Golden Knights | 55c | 4,300$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Predators | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Golden Knights | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Golden Knights | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.98 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…1271backed Golden Knights | 55c | 3,602$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…916fbacked Golden Knights | 24c | 3,568$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Predators | 59c | 3,501$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.56 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebf…3b02backed Predators | 44c | 3,232$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Predators | 60c | 3,219$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.72 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Predators | 59c | 3,009$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.69 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Golden Knights | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Golden Knights | 40c | 2,900$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Golden Knights | 14c | 2,855$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Predators | 64c | 2,824$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.89 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Golden Knights | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Predators | 44c | 2,442$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.38 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 2,415$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.45 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Predators | 76c | 2,389$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.83 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Golden Knights | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.88 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Golden Knights | 57c | 2,016$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.25 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Predators | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.98 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Predators | 43c | 1,898$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.03 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Predators | 46c | 1,865$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.62 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Golden Knights | 24c | 1,861$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.14 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Predators | 45c | 1,830$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.5 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Golden Knights | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…b77ebacked Golden Knights | 56c | 1,635$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.78 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Golden Knights | 46c | 1,505$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Predators | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Golden Knights | 43c | 1,474$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.11 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 1,323$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.45 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Predators | 59c | 1,162$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.42 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,157$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.27 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,136$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.88 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Predators | 44c | 1,100$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Predators | 56c | 1,037$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.03 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Predators | 43c | 1,036$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Golden Knights | 24c | 924.52$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.88 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Predators | 78c | 924$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.28 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 921$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.97 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Predators | 45c | 920$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Golden Knights | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Golden Knights | 59c | 850$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.5 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed Golden Knights | 58c | 812$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Predators | 67c | 803.18$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.61 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Predators | 47c | 777$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.81 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Predators | 63c | 749.9$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.84 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Golden Knights | 51c | 712.56$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.98 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Golden Knights | 7c | 692.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Golden Knights | 21c | 630$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…8a13backed Golden Knights | 56c | 620$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…b595backed Predators | 45c | 620$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Golden Knights | 24c | 603.07$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.74 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Golden Knights | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Predators | 42c | 588$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.04 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Golden Knights | 43c | 549.94$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.48 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Predators | 56c | 532.02$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Predators | 56c | 502$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.88 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Golden Knights | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Predators | 45c | 500$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Golden Knights | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Predators | 56c | 497.93$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.65 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Predators | 43c | 465.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.11 | 164 | 63.4%104 W · 60 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…6031backed Golden Knights | 24c | 457.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Golden Knights | 53c | 450$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Golden Knights | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Golden Knights | 57c | 444.93$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.89 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Golden Knights | 45c | 444.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…85ccbacked Golden Knights | 7c | 444$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…e787backed Golden Knights | 56c | 431.25$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Golden Knights | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Golden Knights | 53c | 428.46$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.08 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cb…22babacked Predators | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 405.17$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Predators | 41c | 403.19$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.88 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Predatorsthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Predators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.