NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Predators: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b05545c1737d515460b7bf11e4ed68ee7a566ac6fcfba36b4b17df95a054225
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,906 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 44c | 3,257$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.47 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 2,356$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.52 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 977.91$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.63 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 62c | 739$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.99 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 53c | 480$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 69c | 457.1$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.02 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 56c | 392.23$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 6c | 378.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Under | 26c | 275$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.51 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 41c | 253.26$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 72c | 245.12$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.66 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 32c | 218$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.07 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 55c | 197.81$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 45c | 155.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 141.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Under | 51c | 127$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 56c | 96.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 52c | 81.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 80.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 51c | 59.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 42c | 40.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 64c | 27.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed Over | 57c | 22.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Over | 57c | 22.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Over | 58c | 20.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Predators: O/U 5.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. PredatorsPredators won
- Golden Knights vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Predators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.