TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,864 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under48c49,229$23,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,624.975658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under48c17,619$8,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,457.0887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over52c11,099$5,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,327.444,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Over52c10,192$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,892.317552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.3826648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c8,706$4,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,183.619,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c4,706$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,258.874,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over53c4,430$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.1924847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over52c4,352$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.9270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Over52c2,321$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.1519445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c1,734$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.164,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c1,470$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c1,168$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.642,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Over55c1,051$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.6711159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over52c1,021$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.1538946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0932952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d3…cbf2backed Over53c852.21$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.262653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f2e…5b64backed Under48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3842236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c684.89$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.473,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under50c647.68$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.8426949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Over51c599.96$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.9851651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over52c575.93$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.4525840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over52c552.86$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.372,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under46c499.97$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over46c499.96$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.981,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over55c480$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under44c397.66$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.972,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over56c383.14$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5890957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under45c357.02$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.882,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over52c307.69$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6987453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf9…f833backed Under49c275.51$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over52c255$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.47852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under48c204.08$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9676552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3126956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3114156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over52c162.76$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.682,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over52c154.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.961,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf34…9a33backed Under48c150.04$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.022040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7242853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Under49c136.73$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6712541.6%52 W · 73 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c129.5$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under45c128.88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5891846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over55c127.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7323657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3845445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0367…03c5backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over52c100.9$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.431,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4839435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4541052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under46c99.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0b5…e373backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1512359.3%73 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc6e…d043backed Over54c92.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.751656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Over54c83.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3325752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Under15c69.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.437731.2%24 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e9e…a436backed Under48c64.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1411454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed Under49c63.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.37646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.661253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…267abacked Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.567948.1%38 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over52c51.79$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.051,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0210448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256040%24 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.528056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0271…156bbacked Over56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over51c49.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Over55c45.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4528536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over79c44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.242,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over52c40.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3813138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59c3…48e8backed Over53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.85964.4%38 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Over52c36.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4310252%53 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda1c…5527backed Under48c36.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.553339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x628b…6861backed Under48c36.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.49683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+48.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe102…67babacked Over54c35.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.193669.4%25 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Over52c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8416852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c32.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.485,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe825…39b7backed Over43c30.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.62927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-40%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7715…ada4backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.46344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa64e…5d27backed Over68c29.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under48c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9246447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over40c28.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6910623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under46c26.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3752552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf29f…35c5backed Over55c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7a…6cfebacked Over54c25.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ce…ea8dbacked Under49c24.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122850%14 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c24.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f5…615bbacked Under49c23.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…d347backed Over55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…798fbacked Over55c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over54c20.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3756454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5247…55f2backed Over80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.