NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96523f012104b62d00e07065393ad86e6dd9a6b0707dd1f91d057fde2717da82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,694 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 51c | 19,631$9,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,672.88 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under | 53c | 8,301$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.43 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 5,653$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.19 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 4,293$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.64 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 48c | 3,390$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.79 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 44c | 2,922$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.45 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 2,324$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 1,841$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.73 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…feefbacked Under | 50c | 1,389$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 1,350$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 1,209$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.48 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…d15dbacked Over | 50c | 890$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 46c | 750.49$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.47 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…6543backed Over | 50c | 499.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 19c | 480.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 467$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.51 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…2514backed Over | 48c | 442.25$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Under | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 69c | 322$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 300.57$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 287.57$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 278.83$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 254.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.61 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…1ab8backed Under | 52c | 223.65$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…2de8backed Under | 52c | 218.6$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 198$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…4b91backed Under | 51c | 196.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 52c | 192.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 48c | 191.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 53c | 185.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…8fc6backed Over | 50c | 150.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 128.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 52c | 126.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 45c | 105.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 51c | 101.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 96.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 70.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 43c | 64.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 60.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Under | 52c | 59.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Under | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 51.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 54c | 49.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3729…d2e5backed Under | 51c | 48.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…3faabacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Over | 49c | 40.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Under | 53c | 35.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 46c | 32.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…afcebacked Under | 51c | 28.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0172…4d2bbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 50c | 28.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Under | 56c | 24.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 51c | 22.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 64c | 21.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Under | 51c | 20.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5this page
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. NuggetsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.