NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x684cb320d5e5308cef4f163077a2a313768824eb19dd6982a0543f351b7b1e26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Nuggets, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $451,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $451,396 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Knicks | 51c | 229,678$117,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,542.12 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 49c | 200,013$98,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,006.29 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Nuggets | 49c | 40,853$20,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,017.94 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Nuggets | 45c | 36,633$16,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,484.93 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Knicks | 51c | 27,509$14,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,479.48 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Knicks | 55c | 18,930$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,530.07 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Knicks | 55c | 12,364$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,563.64 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Nuggets | 48c | 11,033$5,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,348.08 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Nuggets | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Knicks | 51c | 6,863$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,356.54 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 49c | 6,358$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,084.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Knicks | 51c | 5,451$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.94 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Knicks | 51c | 5,378$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.17 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Nuggets | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 4,021$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.16 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Knicks | 54c | 4,000$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.98 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Nuggets | 46c | 3,765$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.07 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,400$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Knicks | 51c | 2,831$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.18 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Knicks | 51c | 2,831$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.18 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,403$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 51c | 2,324$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.25 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Knicks | 55c | 2,277$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.64 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.85 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks | 50c | 1,655$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.28 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 53c | 1,481$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.33 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 53c | 1,357$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Knicks | 55c | 1,319$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.55 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Knicks | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 1,100$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.98 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,083$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.61 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Knicks | 50c | 1,041$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.4 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Knicks | 51c | 954.98$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.94 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Knicks | 52c | 952.97$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.42 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Knicks | 53c | 938$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.86 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Knicks | 53c | 937$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.39 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Nuggets | 48c | 878.95$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.82 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Nuggets | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.97 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks | 70c | 747.71$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.12 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Knicks | 54c | 701.55$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.45 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nuggets | 46c | 647.96$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.06 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Nuggets | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 48c | 610.27$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.34 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Knicks | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Knicks | 51c | 592.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.64 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Knicks | 53c | 585.64$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.64 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets | 44c | 539.6$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.39 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Nuggets | 45c | 506$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…a117backed Nuggets | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Nuggets | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nuggets | 44c | 452.5$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Nuggets | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Knicks | 55c | 415$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.75 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Nuggets | 49c | 401.16$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.24 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 354$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Knicks | 51c | 324.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Nuggets | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked Nuggets | 45c | 299.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4694…b6b2backed Knicks | 53c | 288.74$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Knicks | 54c | 260.72$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.93 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Knicks | 63c | 229.2$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks | 53c | 227.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Knicks | 55c | 215.91$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Nuggets | 45c | 214.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…fdafbacked Knicks | 52c | 213.76$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nuggets | 49c | 211.54$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1563…1877backed Nuggets | 49c | 208.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Knicks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22d…957abacked Nuggets | 48c | 198.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Nuggets | 50c | 198.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks | 47c | 195.72$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.93 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Nuggets | 18c | 191.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Knicks | 53c | 185.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Nuggets | 49c | 183.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…c36abacked Nuggets | 49c | 172.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Knicks | 55c | 168.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a8…e3cfbacked Knicks | 52c | 167.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…9a33backed Knicks | 51c | 150.24$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Knicks | 54c | 130.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Knicks | 50c | 124.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 45c | 119.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Knicks | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Knicks | 51c | 110.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…156bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…5dc1backed Knicks | 51c | 108.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Knicks | 51c | 106.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Nuggets | 48c | 105.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Knicks | 43c | 100.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Knicks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks | 53c | 94.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d068backed Knicks | 54c | 92.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Knicks | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9cf4backed Knicks | 57c | 87.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Knicks | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Knicks | 52c | 81.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…e3e3backed Nuggets | 50c | 79.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)this page
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. NuggetsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.