NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b53e3f5fc1a2265fd822022f887a892c536fee2a42636986bcc2831fc8eda6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $935,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $935,862 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 51c | 551,251$280,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280,838.42 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 209,971$102,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,085.26 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Over | 49c | 103,460$50,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,710.47 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 40,000$19,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,905.52 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 27,655$13,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,886.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 50c | 23,402$11,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,701 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 50c | 12,791$6,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,395.72 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 50c | 12,600$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 9,099$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,549.51 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 50c | 8,216$4,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.95 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 6,121$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 4,999$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.51 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 4,499$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.32 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…40ebbacked Over | 50c | 4,384$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Under | 50c | 4,372$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.37 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 62c | 4,053$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 50c | 3,569$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.61 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Over | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 52c | 3,075$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.43 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 49c | 2,792$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.19 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Over | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 2,236$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.01 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 2,168$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.32 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 2,141$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.3 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Over | 50c | 2,056$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.94 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 49c | 2,001$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.63 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 50c | 1,900$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 1,500$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.14 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…467cbacked Under | 11c | 1,416$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 55c | 1,371$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.07 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 48c | 1,191$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.32 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 50c | 1,152$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.19 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 49c | 1,107$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.64 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 1,101$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Over | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 1,059$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.82 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 39c | 1,029$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.83 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 1,027$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.72 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 51c | 960.78$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.78 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 940.65$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.14 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Under | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 820.05$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.04 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 49c | 676.23$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.28 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 654.39$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.1 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 36c | 496.07$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.54 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 50c | 495.17$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.74 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 476.19$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.86 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 60c | 413.52$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 385$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.42 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 50c | 334.28$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.14 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 43c | 311.63$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 61c | 304.73$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.88 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 73c | 259.7$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 44c | 256.16$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 51c | 255.81$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 46c | 247.09$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under | 51c | 246.54$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under | 52c | 243.67$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.75 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4507…dc26backed Over | 51c | 236.36$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…8945backed Under | 50c | 224.09$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Under | 50c | 223.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716e…f83bbacked Under | 50c | 208.1$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf454…0ba9backed Over | 51c | 208.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…3eabbacked Under | 50c | 207.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…8265backed Under | 50c | 206.6$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…ded1backed Over | 51c | 206.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…025abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 50c | 196.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c0…c269backed Over | 51c | 194.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 157.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0875…167cbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5this page
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. NuggetsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.