NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20225fa8e8dae9b79eec8380cf95804bd88482b24af258d8a68e04b92813d4bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,327 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 43c | 3,154$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.63 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…b86ebacked Under | 60c | 3,101$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.42 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 3,069$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 57c | 1,941$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Under | 69c | 1,060$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd1…4649backed Under | 35c | 780.56$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 16c | 644.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e1…1df7backed Under | 34c | 638.54$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 551.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.1 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…d4c2backed Under | 50c | 524.92$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 34c | 511.05$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.5 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 5c | 481$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 398.17$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 57c | 391.94$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.41 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 57c | 381.34$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.73 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…9b3ebacked Under | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 50c | 324.92$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.46 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 43c | 269.73$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.03 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 45c | 246.37$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.9 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 36c | 238.34$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.53 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 5c | 237$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 53c | 227.11$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 64c | 218.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 58c | 198.28$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fa…97a9backed Under | 56c | 178.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Under | 64c | 157.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 62%170 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 155.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 22c | 139.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Under | 67c | 133.17$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 66c | 129.43$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Under | 16c | 126.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 58c | 111.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 108.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 38c | 96.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 86.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 84.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976b…cf45backed Over | 68c | 82.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Under | 58c | 80.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 28c | 78.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 64c | 74.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | +16.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 44c | 70.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Under | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Over | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2d…cd74backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 34c | 35.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 148 | 58.1%86 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…07a8backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 57c | 20.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca35…5a53backed Under | 56c | 18.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…ad0cbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5this page
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. NuggetsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.