Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Murray State Racers vs. Bradley Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc7e710d86cd7785cf31b7f16cf97ed16525b3444e6dab7be11618cbde085412
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bradley Bravesof Murray State Racers, Bradley Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccff…e845backed Murray State Racers | 43c | 3,277$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.84 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bradley Braves | 61c | 2,846$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.78 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Bradley Braves | 60c | 2,439$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.58 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bradley Braves | 77c | 1,622$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.85 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Murray State Racers | 23c | 1,598$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.69 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Murray State Racers | 43c | 1,064$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.27 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…86afbacked Murray State Racers | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bradley Braves | 60c | 781.58$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.04 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bradley Braves | 74c | 753.66$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.37 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Bradley Braves | 67c | 671.7$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.46 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Murray State Racers | 32c | 637.43$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.98 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Murray State Racers | 48c | 613.58$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.52 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Murray State Racers | 27c | 589.61$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.29 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bradley Braves | 69c | 568.65$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.73 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Murray State Racers | 37c | 541.05$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.95 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Murray State Racers | 8c | 534.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Murray State Racers | 31c | 514.2$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.79 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Bradley Braves | 63c | 468.43$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bradley Braves | 60c | 428.31$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Murray State Racers | 27c | 425.12$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.71 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bradley Braves | 62c | 414.16$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Bradley Braves | 63c | 407.96$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Bradley Braves | 63c | 308.37$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.1 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Murray State Racers | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Murray State Racers | 38c | 267.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Bradley Braves | 60c | 263.85$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6a…857abacked Murray State Racers | 11c | 181.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bradley Braves | 80c | 177.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Murray State Racers | 44c | 170.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Murray State Racers | 37c | 169.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Bradley Braves | 64c | 154.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Murray State Racers | 37c | 149.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bradley Braves | 62c | 146.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked Murray State Racers | 33c | 146$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Murray State Racers | 14c | 123.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Murray State Racers | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Bradley Braves | 58c | 107.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985f…7a5bbacked Bradley Braves | 46c | 105.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Murray State Racers | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Murray State Racers | 46c | 97.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Murray State Racers | 38c | 97.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…67babacked Bradley Braves | 64c | 92.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Murray State Racers | 30c | 92.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Murray State Racers | 25c | 87.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Murray State Racers | 38c | 79.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Murray State Racers | 38c | 79.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Bradley Braves | 63c | 78.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Murray State Racers | 38c | 73.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Bradley Braves | 54c | 72.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Murray State Racers | 36c | 67.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Murray State Racers | 37c | 66.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Bradley Braves | 64c | 66.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Murray State Racers | 42c | 63.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Murray State Racers | 37c | 61.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Murray State Racers | 37c | 55.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Murray State Racers | 45c | 52.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -9.9wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Murray State Racers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -12.0wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Murray State Racers | 27c | 37.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Bradley Braves | 63c | 35.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Bradley Braves | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Bradley Braves | 63c | 28.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Murray State Racers | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…b28fbacked Bradley Braves | 60c | 25.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Murray State Racers | 45c | 25.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Bradley Braves | 76c | 24.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bradley Braves | 73c | 24.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb7…bfcebacked Bradley Braves | 67c | 21.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Bradley Braves | 72c | 15.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Murray State Racers vs. Bradley Bravesthis page
- Murray State Racers vs. Bradley Braves: O/U 158.5Over won
- Spread: Bradley Braves (-4.5)Bradley Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.