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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiNof paiN, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$600,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,326 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 439 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked paiN53c44,728$23,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,886.2542440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked paiN38c28,649$10,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,740.5935850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked G247c21,279$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00022754.6%124 W · 103 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed G260c15,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0009551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed paiN57c13,984$7,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,075.6523455.6%130 W · 104 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed paiN45c13,564$6,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,526.16656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed paiN46c12,663$5,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,804.2614441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked G267c12,600$8,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,476.2783652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd9…3373backed G263c11,872$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5006752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceec…4ad9backed G265c10,830$7,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,019.442556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed paiN46c10,746$4,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,802.911149.5%55 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked G270c10,476$7,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,302.5916448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed G246c10,265$4,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,716.5967041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked paiN44c9,115$4,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,069.4815760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed paiN54c8,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.7735354.1%191 W · 162 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked G252c7,681$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.385464.8%35 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked G251c7,306$3,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,753.3332848.8%160 W · 168 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed G247c7,188$3,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,386.089256.5%52 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked paiN32c7,078$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.051,63444.7%731 W · 903 L+4.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed paiN53c7,016$3,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,297.46553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed G260c6,741$4,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,077.472453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked paiN29c6,103$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,362.8317148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked G244c6,080$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,687.872,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed paiN43c6,065$2,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,473.8710935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed G252c5,643$2,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,935.1122448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed G252c5,600$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.016,52242.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L-80.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed paiN41c5,438$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,229.4821941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed G275c5,071$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed G272c4,966$3,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,575.5521548.4%104 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed paiN36c4,924$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.5511240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed G252c4,907$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.391850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed G273c4,827$3,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,523.6319645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked G253c4,806$2,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.238444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb76…4ac0backed G261c4,798$2,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,916.67933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked paiN35c4,523$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,929.293,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked paiN26c4,120$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,056.4820539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e9…fcc9backed G257c3,935$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.575954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked paiN41c3,887$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2851,62745.7%743 W · 884 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed paiN27c3,703$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,703.1941749.9%208 W · 209 L+20.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b14…2d9bbacked G247c3,686$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.485453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed G271c3,422$2,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.3542341.8%177 W · 246 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed paiN52c3,219$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.99153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked paiN27c3,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1904546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed G273c3,000$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1908951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b5a…b691backed G250c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed G261c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.9828553.7%153 W · 132 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed paiN27c2,963$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162.833246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed paiN41c2,927$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.8119549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed G272c2,904$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1056450%32 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed G272c2,883$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.6337946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked paiN37c2,848$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.1227530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked G248c2,831$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37247738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked G258c2,812$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.438,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN27c2,750$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.51,43233.6%481 W · 951 L+41.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked G263c2,700$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.9913845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked paiN28c2,671$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.1221854.6%119 W · 99 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked G264c2,640$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.071,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4720…007bbacked paiN42c2,513$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.843053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed paiN42c2,419$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.68944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked paiN43c2,232$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.961,06949.3%527 W · 542 L+40.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed G248c2,161$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.511,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked paiN36c2,152$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.8154837.4%205 W · 343 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked paiN30c2,074$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.2817042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf2…1a4ebacked G257c2,009$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.34630.4%14 W · 32 L-9.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-42.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked G270c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40084454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed G247c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94092152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked G254c1,949$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.175945.3%344 W · 415 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed G252c1,918$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed G273c1,900$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3878846.6%41 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18ec…bb87backed G254c1,863$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.65955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed G265c1,686$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09622049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed G265c1,600$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04012742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked G261c1,577$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.1741150.6%208 W · 203 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed G251c1,561$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.771,61329.6%478 W · 1,135 L-90.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked G270c1,493$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.0466862.4%417 W · 251 L+28.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed paiN37c1,400$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.128344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked G265c1,400$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9126060%36 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed G244c1,351$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed paiN50c1,339$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.8433960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd49d…f05cbacked paiN40c1,308$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.036043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71dd…31ebbacked G263c1,277$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.872075%15 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+63.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed paiN27c1,239$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.7721144.1%93 W · 118 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked G246c1,207$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.2115441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc76…3af1backed G260c1,194$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.285048%24 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed paiN41c1,179$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6955,40031.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L-393.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed paiN28c1,154$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.5736554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed G264c1,149$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.2526234.7%91 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked paiN27c1,111$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.1153336.2%193 W · 340 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed G232c1,104$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.1138037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed G247c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed G259c1,060$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6309552.6%50 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb546…802cbacked G274c1,010$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.51850%9 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed paiN28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72079740%319 W · 478 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed paiN27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7306744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed G247c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47044033.6%148 W · 292 L-1.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked paiN25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7504634.8%16 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed paiN27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7306046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed G264c999.99$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63512446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed paiN54c999.98$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9960853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked paiN53c999.97$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9898752.5%518 W · 469 L+26.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.