CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e8c39b55be70fbdfeea2424c0b73e0206abbf920228aafc6b1efac5a3d0a10c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof G2, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed G2 | 37c | 1,806$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.35 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…c6dcbacked paiN | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed G2 | 3c | 960.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f2…2348backed G2 | 46c | 851.62$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed paiN | 57c | 521$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.23 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed paiN | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 | 44c | 385.38$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.89 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed G2 | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed paiN | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…9728backed paiN | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked paiN | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN | 54c | 97.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed paiN | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed paiN | 59c | 33.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed paiN | 53c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked paiN | 70c | 28.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed paiN | 72c | 23.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed paiN | 77c | 17.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1paiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.