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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiNof paiN, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,077

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked paiN22c11,335$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,834.053,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed G267c11,000$7,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,369.9735354.1%191 W · 162 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked paiN29c10,287$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,288.4615760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked paiN33c9,652$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,466.5210251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed paiN23c7,445$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,718.639153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked G267c6,500$4,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,354.9983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked paiN18c5,619$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,598.781,62745.7%743 W · 884 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked G277c5,092$3,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,901.8245457%259 W · 195 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked paiN10c4,945$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,450.5131126.4%82 W · 229 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked G268c4,130$2,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,808.235850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked paiN32c4,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,72017042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked paiN17c3,480$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.221,06949.3%527 W · 542 L+40.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed paiN46c3,352$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.021,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed paiN35c3,231$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.116,52242.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L-80.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked G269c3,178$2,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,19716448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked paiN33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,01022550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked paiN24c2,837$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.5447738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed paiN19c2,715$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.621941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked paiN27c1,872$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.832,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN24c1,671$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.332,12041.9%889 W · 1,231 L-47.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed paiN30c1,611$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.4846949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked paiN27c1,500$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.1761228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9e…456bbacked G268c1,480$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.45655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+57.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed G269c1,453$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed paiN23c1,444$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.9752947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed paiN20c1,316$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.9611240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN36c1,207$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.78,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked paiN31c1,200$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8308444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa9…ed7dbacked paiN14c1,170$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.592347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed paiN32c1,162$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.1612742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed paiN22c1,150$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8981,28922%283 W · 1,006 L-25.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed G268c1,133$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.346058.7%270 W · 190 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked paiN31c1,088$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.7627947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed paiN46c1,077$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.425,40031.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L-393.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d1d…d8c0backed G266c1,002$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.914847.9%23 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked paiN31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69041150.6%208 W · 203 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed paiN33c951.52$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.5214532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed paiN33c924.85$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.542149.9%210 W · 211 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed G266c913.32$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009552.6%50 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed G271c901.67$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.174,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed paiN33c818.18$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.1834146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed paiN21c781.7$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.0912021.7%26 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed G267c749.98$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.4926451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed G267c747.49$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.663545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked paiN35c714.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.2918549.7%92 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed paiN22c713.64$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.6456132.6%183 W · 378 L-26.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed paiN26c704$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.9621350.2%107 W · 106 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe36…d9a4backed paiN11c698.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.481457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked paiN27c655.97$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.985,65147.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L+46.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f9…51b1backed paiN33c570$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.910753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed paiN31c535.02$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.166225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked paiN31c501.45$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34681944.4%364 W · 455 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed paiN24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38011852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed paiN13c500$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43541716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed paiN32c464.11$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.1136554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked paiN22c440.79$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.7911340.7%46 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9c…101cbacked G268c440.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.547152.1%37 W · 34 L-9.9wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-22.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed paiN43c438.19$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7728254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked paiN17c423.02$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.451,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed paiN11c400$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3562,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked G227c371.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-58.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked paiN33c356.58$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.423,25651.2%1,667 W · 1,589 L+89.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked paiN24c338.36$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.647428.4%21 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed paiN20c329.76$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.738844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6556…f5b4backed paiN16c321.39$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.392544%11 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+15.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed paiN41c313.86$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.331,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f07…c74fbacked paiN20c312.67$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.984835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed paiN32c303.13$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.1325640.2%103 W · 153 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed G251c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed paiN18c290.39$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.947939.2%31 W · 48 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked paiN23c288$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.911,67332.7%547 W · 1,126 L-48.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked G270c286.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009548.4%46 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked paiN40c279.35$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.672,24447.6%1,068 W · 1,176 L-4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked G268c223$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.992,81637.6%1,060 W · 1,756 L-138.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed paiN20c212$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.616349.1%80 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed G277c210.16$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9810167.3%68 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed paiN33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.197840.7%398 W · 580 L+12.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked paiN15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.112637.3%47 W · 79 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1698…68e8backed G280c200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16011470.2%80 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed paiN29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.874,26149.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L+62.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked paiN11c192.03$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9171123.9%170 W · 541 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed G268c187.38$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.426953.6%37 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52fe…a72cbacked paiN20c185.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.82728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed paiN24c184$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8420942.1%88 W · 121 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed paiN27c168$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.331,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed paiN11c164.38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1319935.7%71 W · 128 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7162…f2b3backed paiN10c161.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.841915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed G267c152$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8475454.6%412 W · 342 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed G228c142.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked paiN41c134.47$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4760857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9107…b3e8backed G268c131$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.391145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf693…202fbacked G277c130.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018167.4%122 W · 59 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd13e…ca33backed paiN32c115.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.879826.5%26 W · 72 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked paiN13c115.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3270036.1%253 W · 447 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed G267c109.44$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6811353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed paiN22c106$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.431,30526.4%345 W · 960 L-89.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc170…dfe9backed paiN29c103.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.338030%24 W · 56 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked G275c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7566753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3726…8521backed paiN11c100$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898145.7%37 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed paiN15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.