Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0217ba6471e618f15f0c5dcf1da15e12f8dfa233815fdf26daf7c3e952a1e004
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $501,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $526,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $501,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 51c | 74,256$37,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,870.42 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Yes | 49c | 58,135$28,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,648.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 45c | 44,288$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,288.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 50c | 22,891$11,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,483.4 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 48c | 20,521$9,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,615.82 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Yes | 49c | 13,555$6,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,913.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 49c | 12,918$6,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,588.37 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 57c | 12,853$7,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,284.68 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…f76ebacked Yes | 49c | 11,224$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,724.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 10,298$5,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,421.12 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 50c | 10,096$5,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,056.67 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 51c | 8,040$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100.39 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 50c | 7,393$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 49c | 6,327$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.53 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 6,053$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.46 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 5,278$3,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,819.01 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Yes | 49c | 4,510$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 28c | 4,400$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.99 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 50c | 4,365$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.72 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 4,071$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.73 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 4,017$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.72 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked No | 51c | 4,000$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…8296backed No | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 28c | 3,699$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.67 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…4f2abacked Yes | 30c | 3,671$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed No | 50c | 2,945$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 50c | 2,284$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.89 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 2,043$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.14 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 21c | 1,714$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.29 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,600$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 28c | 1,514$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.29 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 1,470$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.67 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed Yes | 9c | 1,450$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 24c | 1,327$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.65 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 49c | 1,282$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.08 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 49c | 1,250$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.49 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed No | 51c | 1,137$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.64 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.44per pick | 54cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…f051backed Yes | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.36 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +75%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 63c | 1,117$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.87 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Yes | 49c | 1,026$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 73c | 1,008$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4730…cdb1backed No | 52c | 949.19$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 57c | 944.27$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.27 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 48c | 916.62$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.64 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 28c | 887.24$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 24c | 841.06$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.06 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 60c | 806.87$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.64 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 55c | 795.13$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.84 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 51c | 772.06$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.75 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 50c | 772$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 53c | 718.8$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.95 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.29 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01c…7f6cbacked Yes | 49c | 695$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f98…2e0cbacked Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 26c | 600$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 16c | 563.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.64 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 34c | 552.04$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…9869backed Yes | 6c | 540$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5289…2154backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 45c | 434.71$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.09 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 66c | 400.71$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.46 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 26c | 400$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…f6bcbacked No | 76c | 400$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 50c | 391.4$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.7 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 29c | 382.16$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.33 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 42c | 352.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.38 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc738…25a4backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 48c | 344$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.88 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 29c | 338.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.64 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Yes | 29c | 328.21$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +49%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…b973backed Yes | 29c | 326.44$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +231.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…94b9backed Yes | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes | 39c | 315.85$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.85 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 313$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.92 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa03…c9ffbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +154.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 302.42$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.49 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed No | 62c | 300$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes | 15c | 299.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.