CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs ShindeN (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa64fa492da8427f5e4e8da00ec25d3acc83366521f25689e21ebc530a4297e56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof Fluxo W7M, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb130…30e6backed ShindeN | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ace4backed ShindeN | 49c | 1,080$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b25…9344backed Fluxo W7M | 51c | 1,080$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed ShindeN | 47c | 989.11$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.88 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…5b36backed Fluxo W7M | 53c | 807.87$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.7 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…310bbacked Fluxo W7M | 51c | 685$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…8979backed Fluxo W7M | 51c | 670$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…a2dcbacked Fluxo W7M | 51c | 665$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ShindeN | 24c | 391.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ShindeN | 50c | 370.95$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.87 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked ShindeN | 50c | 300$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.81 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Fluxo W7M | 73c | 239.84$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed ShindeN | 49c | 205.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fluxo W7M | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo W7M | 66c | 185.42$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…a63ebacked Fluxo W7M | 77c | 142.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Fluxo W7M | 51c | 136.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ShindeN | 51c | 136.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…a925backed ShindeN | 23c | 130.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fluxo W7M | 51c | 113.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…a7edbacked ShindeN | 42c | 109$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ShindeN | 34c | 103.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked ShindeN | 42c | 101.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Fluxo W7M | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x341f…8785backed Fluxo W7M | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fluxo W7M | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Fluxo W7M | 78c | 95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Fluxo W7M | 52c | 70.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked ShindeN | 20c | 69.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…67babacked Fluxo W7M | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 68cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked ShindeN | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Fluxo W7M | 53c | 33.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x278c…d9d9backed Fluxo W7M | 80c | 31.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fluxo W7M | 48c | 25.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed ShindeN | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…3065backed Fluxo W7M | 53c | 23.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Fluxo W7M | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Fluxo W7M | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked Fluxo W7M | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Fluxo W7M | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.