NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2df743170cc68aac59dd9deede50c5db1ba23c43953c5e634b841fcbefe9c30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $784,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $788,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $784,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 50c | 238,330$119,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,238.93 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 51c | 232,180$118,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,768.09 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 177,306$88,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,653.08 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 49c | 130,484$63,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,926.34 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 50c | 110,832$55,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,416.17 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 79,509$39,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,673.86 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 50c | 76,417$38,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,158.27 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 33,109$16,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,554.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 28,899$14,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,279.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 23,417$11,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,536.51 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Over | 51c | 19,891$10,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,144.41 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 49c | 17,718$8,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,681.82 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 17,692$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,692.31 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 16,088$7,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,904.74 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 51c | 15,950$8,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,134.47 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…9b8abacked Over | 49c | 15,918$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Over | 47c | 12,856$6,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,042.5 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 11,000$5,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,410 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 8,224$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060.37 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Over | 48c | 7,500$3,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591.99 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 7,082$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Under | 53c | 3,777$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.19 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 50c | 3,380$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Over | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 51c | 2,053$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.31 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 2,026$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.05 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 77c | 1,957$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.18 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,820$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.68 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 1,535$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.97 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 27c | 1,532$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.67 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.79 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 2c | 1,407$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 33c | 1,185$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.45 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Under | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.93 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under | 52c | 1,101$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.28 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 52c | 1,040$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.2 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 51c | 1,033$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.21 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 1,023$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.73 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 786.3$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 741.67$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 51c | 627.29$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.84 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 52c | 478.17$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.17 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Under | 51c | 470$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.3 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Under | 52c | 464.6$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 388.9$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.5 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 373$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ca23backed Over | 50c | 354.2$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 314.92$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.61 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 52c | 301.18$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Over | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Under | 52c | 289.04$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.98 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Under | 52c | 263.42$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Under | 53c | 257.04$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.04 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Under | 53c | 251.86$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.86 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 57c | 246.09$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Under | 52c | 243.18$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Under | 53c | 238.32$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 52c | 232.17$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.62 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Under | 56c | 230$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 52c | 220.24$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…f9e3backed Under | 52c | 216.23$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Under | 50c | 205.38$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Under | 52c | 200.38$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.65 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Under | 50c | 199.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…5ce2backed Under | 52c | 198.9$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.02 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…65c3backed Under | 52c | 198.9$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.02 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 52c | 198.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under | 50c | 194.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Over | 51c | 193.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…2942backed Under | 52c | 185.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 51c | 184.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…c759backed Under | 52c | 182.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 52c | 178.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 52c | 154$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 47c | 147.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Under | 57c | 140.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…cfbcbacked Under | 51c | 136.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3792backed Under | 62c | 130.56$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Under | 52c | 126.83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Under | 52c | 118.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 117.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 115.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Under | 51c | 114.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 19.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.