Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1810a65fddc8637d811a23c4b4edd685bd22f9f05af8c0c6cd25ddc589841ec2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $546,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $402,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $546,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 3c | 66,778$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…a743backed Yes | 0c | 38,755$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 248 | 15.3%38 W · 210 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7332…7fa1backed Yes | 0c | 17,960$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 2c | 12,175$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.24 | 416 | 5.3%22 W · 394 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 1c | 11,239$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 5c | 8,712$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.34 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes | 3c | 7,524$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117f…e958backed Yes | 1c | 6,485$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.98 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 2c | 4,736$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 230 | 19.1%44 W · 186 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…24d6backed Yes | 26c | 4,525$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.63 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,355$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 2c | 4,200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 46c | 3,702$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 66c | 3,638$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.12 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 8c | 3,635$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.69 | 158 | 19%30 W · 128 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 6c | 3,628$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 227 | 18.5%42 W · 185 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes | 1c | 3,543$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 332 | 31%103 W · 229 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes | 38c | 3,238$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.91 | 179 | 19%34 W · 145 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…8348backed Yes | 4c | 3,154$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 3,129$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked No | 62c | 2,777$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.7 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes | 21c | 2,757$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.23 | 601 | 27.3%164 W · 437 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes | 35c | 2,377$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.09 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,328$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…2f27backed Yes | 35c | 2,300$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.79 | 241 | 15.4%37 W · 204 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 57c | 2,264$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.76 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 17c | 2,140$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.54 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 30c | 2,085$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.48 | 193 | 17.6%34 W · 159 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…4485backed Yes | 16c | 1,957$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.23 | 342 | 15.8%54 W · 288 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…55cabacked Yes | 3c | 1,931$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 30.8%36 W · 81 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 1,871$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.97 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7766…b7f6backed Yes | 14c | 1,714$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.18 | 321 | 10%32 W · 289 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 4c | 1,709$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 13c | 1,703$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.55 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…a576backed Yes | 3c | 1,642$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 96 | 16.7%16 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…5a39backed Yes | 22c | 1,611$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.99 | 144 | 11.1%16 W · 128 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,500$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 149 | 28.2%42 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 1,306$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.79 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094c…e608backed Yes | 3c | 1,280$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…5dbebacked Yes | 34c | 1,247$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 13c | 1,243$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.26 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…7341backed Yes | 22c | 1,198$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.58 | 340 | 8.2%28 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 33c | 1,060$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.7 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c96…1959backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 11c | 997.46$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…558bbacked Yes | 38c | 984.23$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.26 | 181 | 23.8%43 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…45afbacked No | 53c | 947.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.25 | 209 | 24.9%52 W · 157 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4326…c3a8backed Yes | 38c | 800.16$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.06 | 174 | 34.5%60 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes | 30c | 793.5$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.57 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…413ebacked Yes | 35c | 791.43$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 15c | 784.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 7c | 712$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…7f66backed Yes | 38c | 663.4$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.78 | 197 | 26.9%53 W · 144 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…ed71backed Yes | 40c | 640$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 2c | 625.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 118 | 9.3%11 W · 107 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 39c | 622.2$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb79…1fcebacked Yes | 2c | 603.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435a…c529backed No | 80c | 590$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked No | 77c | 518.35$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…e965backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 360 | 18.6%67 W · 293 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…6573backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5fdcbacked Yes | 6c | 499.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 212 | 33%70 W · 142 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked No | 61c | 499.96$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.98 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9721…0c3ebacked Yes | 35c | 479.11$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.29 | 108 | 18.5%20 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 418.38$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 29c | 410$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539e…3ccebacked Yes | 13c | 389.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…775abacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 386 | 14.2%55 W · 331 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 63c | 380.53$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.3 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c7…e672backed Yes | 34c | 373.48$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…0d4ebacked No | 61c | 369.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d68…1474backed Yes | 36c | 344.71$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…d4b1backed Yes | 10c | 336.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…8649backed Yes | 39c | 335.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…4612backed Yes | 16c | 319.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 273 | 16.8%46 W · 227 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…7a9bbacked Yes | 47c | 318.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05a…1049backed Yes | 32c | 305.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 35c | 301.83$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 171 | 26.9%46 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 34c | 300.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes | 24c | 299.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 48c | 296.08$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 267 | 22.8%61 W · 206 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…afc3backed Yes | 45c | 287.41$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55bf…9ee3backed No | 73c | 274.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…b9b8backed Yes | 39c | 257.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…2fe2backed Yes | 34c | 255.17$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d0…8df8backed Yes | 10c | 250.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…0dd2backed Yes | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 150 | 17.3%26 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729e…e23ebacked Yes | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 238 | 31.1%74 W · 164 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…49d7backed Yes | 45c | 242.39$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 73c | 241$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes | 15c | 226.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 431 | 26.2%113 W · 318 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…37d3backed No | 58c | 201.28$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 410 | 17.8%73 W · 337 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 250 | 23.2%58 W · 192 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…657bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 10c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 827 | 14.9%123 W · 704 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.