Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9b6148ec28f1563d8c17e0d296dea2e3e624200941d7f1f983e432987f643e9

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $551,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $463,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $551,700 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	37,803$1,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,467.44	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	4c	13,505$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.91	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…45babacked Yes	5c	11,275$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	6c	10,210$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658.79	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	10,208$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.22	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes	2c	10,060$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.4	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	9,011$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.89	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	9c	7,136$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.69	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	9c	6,976$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.92	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	8c	6,465$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.74	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	6c	6,339$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.74	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	2c	5,494$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.92	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…b3c1backed Yes	1c	5,460$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	5,167$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	7c	5,066$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.49	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	14c	4,984$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.23	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	7c	4,545$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.88	121	6.6%8 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	9c	4,409$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	9c	4,397$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.46	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	5c	4,129$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.21	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	9c	4,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	4c	3,798$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.4	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	6c	3,782$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.17	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x308a…eed3backed Yes	4c	3,746$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.11	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+62.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	2c	3,507$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.52	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed Yes	9c	3,493$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.92	235	9.4%22 W · 213 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b64…ebdebacked Yes	8c	3,405$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.6	78	25.6%20 W · 58 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac64…0dd2backed Yes	7c	3,078$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.79	150	17.3%26 W · 124 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x564b…8348backed Yes	11c	3,035$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.5	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904f…923bbacked Yes	8c	2,875$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.73	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.21per pick	19cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	2c	2,792$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.78	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Yes	7c	2,672$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.28	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	4c	2,670$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	108	17.6%19 W · 89 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	4c	2,501$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.74	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	11c	2,495$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.63	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed Yes	8c	2,477$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.41	144	11.1%16 W · 128 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked Yes	7c	2,477$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	76	23.7%18 W · 58 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x837d…8a0dbacked Yes	16c	2,390$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.42	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	2,358$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.13	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	16c	2,346$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15cc…40a3backed Yes	5c	2,336$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.54	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	10c	2,289$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.42	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…bfc1backed Yes	10c	2,142$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.32	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e7f…8c3cbacked Yes	2c	2,061$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.83	50	16%8 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	6c	2,036$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	7c	2,022$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.76	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	8c	1,982$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.85	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	5c	1,900$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.29	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dda…6ec7backed Yes	12c	1,779$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.63	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-4.7wins	-0.26per pick	32cpaid	-80.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	6c	1,723$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.55	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c96…1959backed Yes	9c	1,700$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.49	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes	12c	1,609$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.47	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	11c	1,524$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.73	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	12c	1,516$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	5c	1,500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbced…7f66backed Yes	9c	1,454$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.46	197	26.9%53 W · 144 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	5c	1,403$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.27	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	4c	1,400$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.8	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed80…0022backed Yes	4c	1,316$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	5c	1,289$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.34	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	5c	1,277$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.89	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes	6c	1,262$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.61	91	16.5%15 W · 76 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	9c	1,261$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.92	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes	10c	1,214$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.56	193	17.6%34 W · 159 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa0…3308backed Yes	4c	1,196$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.04	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	33cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	2c	1,132$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.99	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c33…ce95backed Yes	11c	1,100$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.65	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	1,084$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.78	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6f2…60fabacked Yes	8c	1,062$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.47	80	8.8%7 W · 73 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-41%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbcc…2e56backed Yes	13c	1,046$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.18	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x729e…e23ebacked Yes	13c	1,012$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.9	238	31.1%74 W · 164 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	4c	1,000$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.98	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8974…bedebacked Yes	4c	999.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+42%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb30a…250ebacked Yes	8c	999.99$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	5c	999.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadc5…5b2ebacked Yes	4c	953.76$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.04	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55bf…9ee3backed Yes	12c	934.32$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.4	85	27.1%23 W · 62 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ff…9708backed Yes	4c	931.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.77	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee0…5447backed Yes	11c	929.52$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+61.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	10c	905.01$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcc…643fbacked Yes	6c	890.36$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	95	15.8%15 W · 80 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	10c	814.45$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.73	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Yes	8c	813.9$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.37	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec6…20d4backed Yes	8c	758.82$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.07	83	25.3%21 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	13c	740.29$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.26	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9906…c0aebacked Yes	2c	730.08$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	75	25.3%19 W · 56 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1abc…2093backed Yes	9c	719.13$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.26	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabbe…8f37backed Yes	7c	702.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x774d…5cdabacked Yes	11c	700$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.95	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x713b…f43cbacked Yes	5c	700$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	105	36.2%38 W · 67 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd48…6677backed Yes	4c	687.35$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.39	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c6…ed71backed Yes	10c	669.64$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	11c	662$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.79	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2246…dd6fbacked Yes	6c	660.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.89	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d7…64ccbacked Yes	16c	600$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1606…0ba6backed Yes	5c	600$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.8	100	21%21 W · 79 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4326…c3a8backed Yes	10c	600$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.65	174	34.5%60 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes	10c	580$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.25	130	23.1%30 W · 100 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	6c	569.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.1	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	5c	551.24$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.09	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event