NHL · resolved market
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba3079da164cc7805cdf6511ebc94319ea20e16fd49694cdb5f5cd56daccd8c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,332 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Senators | 48c | 102,570$49,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,336.71 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Canucks | 52c | 70,111$36,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,364.55 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Canucks | 52c | 15,385$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Canucks | 52c | 10,500$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Canucks | 52c | 10,493$5,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,456.27 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Senators | 49c | 9,992$4,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,095.84 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canucks | 52c | 5,353$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.14 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Senators | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.03 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Senators | 47c | 4,451$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.42 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Canucks | 52c | 3,724$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.69 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canucks | 53c | 3,231$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.1 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Canucks | 52c | 3,200$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.66 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Senators | 48c | 2,957$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.33 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Canucks | 52c | 2,500$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Senators | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.19 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Senators | 49c | 1,975$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.75 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Canucks | 53c | 1,592$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.96 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Senators | 48c | 1,288$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.76 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Senators | 47c | 1,134$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.41 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Canucks | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Canucks | 52c | 1,030$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.6 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Senators | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.04 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Canucks | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Canucks | 53c | 685.07$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.16 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Canucks | 52c | 681.62$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.44 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…5738backed Senators | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Canucks | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Canucks | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…e52abacked Canucks | 49c | 479$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Canucks | 53c | 420$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Senators | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Canucks | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Canucks | 53c | 343.69$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.7 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Senators | 49c | 333.08$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.87 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c19…12e1backed Canucks | 53c | 320.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Senators | 48c | 318$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.4 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Senators | 51c | 306.1$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Canucks | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Senators | 48c | 252.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.65 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canucks | 49c | 233.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Senators | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Senators | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Canucks | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dd…ad7bbacked Senators | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Canucks | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Canucks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…123cbacked Canucks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Canucks | 52c | 176.09$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Senators | 47c | 175$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.77 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Senators | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Canucks | 53c | 135.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Canucks | 52c | 127$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x979d…87dcbacked Canucks | 52c | 125.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…a3d7backed Senators | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Canucks | 49c | 109.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Senators | 50c | 109$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…78aabacked Senators | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5c…80debacked Senators | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Canucks | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Canucks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Canucks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Canucks | 52c | 94.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Senators | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Senators | 45c | 88.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…b7debacked Canucks | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…853dbacked Senators | 49c | 75.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Senators | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Canucks | 60c | 70.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Canucks | 53c | 65.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Senators | 52c | 65.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Canucks | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…7507backed Canucks | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Senators | 52c | 57.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Canucks | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Canucks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Canucks | 49c | 55.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd660…dd8bbacked Senators | 56c | 53.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Canucks | 52c | 53.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Senators | 51c | 52.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…3152backed Senators | 48c | 51.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Senators | 47c | 50.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044d…e6f7backed Senators | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Canucks | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Senators | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7076…7e6cbacked Canucks | 53c | 48.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Canucks | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Senators | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Senators | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…13d4backed Canucks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Canucks | 53c | 33.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Senators | 47c | 31.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Canucks | 52c | 30.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Senators | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Senators | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b77…c9e5backed Canucks | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0466…b3a5backed Senators | 48c | 28.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…a8e1backed Canucks | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Senators | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Canucks | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Canucks | 53c | 25.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)this page
- Senators vs. CanucksSenators won
- Senators vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5Under won
- Senators vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senators vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Senators vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.