MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a756a875117da352bbc7b033b5502299497289d377862c887efd0c043390e77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Miami Marlins, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $294,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 66,666$33,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,333 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 46,500$23,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,250 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 30,063$15,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,849.69 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 28,302$14,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,150.95 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 17,995$7,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,910.56 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 15,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.97 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.78 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Miami Marlins | 7c | 14,369$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 14,341$7,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 9,970$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 9,906$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 8,942$4,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,343.52 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 8,793$4,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,257.59 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 7,104$4,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.85 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 7,078$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564.79 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 5,262$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.61 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 4,853$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 4,242$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.55 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 24c | 4,098$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.73 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 3,711$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.51 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 3,529$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.41 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 3,171$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.5 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 3,065$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.55 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Minnesota Twins | 79c | 2,750$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.44 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 1,697$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,490$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.9 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 1,411$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.94 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,246$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.62 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 1,175$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.74 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,119$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.32 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 1,034$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.2 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Minnesota Twins | 79c | 1,000$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.3 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,000$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.76 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 981$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 970.94$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.8 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 863.08$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.03 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 853.1$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.22 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 765$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 704.37$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.49 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 480$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 426.4$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 420.21$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.31 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…57e8backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 396$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Minnesota Twins | 76c | 354.98$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 352.94$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 325.43$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.9 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 323.53$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.53 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…fb8ebacked Miami Marlins | 6c | 312.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 300.35$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.17 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 295.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 260.38$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fa…3262backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 257.61$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 245$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 233$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.17 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc753…b72cbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 226.38$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4584…8959backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 224.16$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…06ffbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 222.18$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Minnesota Twins | 71c | 220$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8d…fc07backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 219.94$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb010…9b6dbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 206.84$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…c9abbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 204.76$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf8…b24ebacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 204.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…5edfbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 202.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 200.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 199.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…2c45backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 188.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…bcddbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 175.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 175.09$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e7…c6e8backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 173.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd490…8d59backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 129.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…4f3fbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 126.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 118$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2201…b675backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 245 | 44.1%108 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 113$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Miami Marlins | 18c | 108$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.