TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cab…06ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$75.91
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$87.53
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$71.17
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.17
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.54
Avalanche vs. Bluesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$63.37
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.26
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.78
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.14
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$43.8
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.64
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$86.3
Red Wings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$42.87
Maple Leafs vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$76.74
Golden Knights vs. Capitalsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$83.01
Maple Leafs vs. Canucksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$65.65
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$115.84
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$125.94
Senators vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$232.78
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+132.6%+$269.82
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$75.02
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.85
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.08
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.27
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.66
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$87.59
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+150%+$124.55
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22.95
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$39.94
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$61.91
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$91.38
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$296.84
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$195.65
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$223.99
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$245.81
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+143.9%+$91.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+126.9%+$215.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$45.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$75.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.