MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43d1d9d3db06a5187e37f69335b403ec13e2ee753a3837e097db0fa42bd3d890
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Minnesota Twins, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $449,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 96,764$53,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,543.92 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 51,864$28,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,220.34 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 43,526$19,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,961.64 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 33,333$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.85 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 29,000$16,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,760 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 22,200$9,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,990 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 17,609$8,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,805.79 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 16,627$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.7 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 13,500$6,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,030 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 11,658$5,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.47 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 11,592$6,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,005.06 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.94 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 9,886$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.97 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 76c | 8,952$6,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,825.22 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 8,889$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 7,423$5,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.39 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 27c | 7,058$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,157.72 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb38f…5048backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 5,925$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 5,301$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.76 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 5,271$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.72 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 5,200$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.45 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 4,155$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.19 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 4,067$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.5 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 3,959$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.04 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 3,721$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.72 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 3,484$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.06 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 3,374$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.46 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 3,110$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.33 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 3,010$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.46 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 3,005$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.17 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 2,656$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 2,395$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.35 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 2,270$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.28 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 2,261$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.73 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb312…edbdbacked Minnesota Twins | 62c | 2,193$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 2,057$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.27 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Minnesota Twins | 78c | 2,045$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.98 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 1,853$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…c780backed Minnesota Twins | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | +288.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…5777backed Minnesota Twins | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +363.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Minnesota Twins | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Minnesota Twins | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ec…0959backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 1,475$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Minnesota Twins | 68c | 1,474$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.61 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,394$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 1,358$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.79 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 1,304$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.35 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Minnesota Twins | 10c | 1,295$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.46 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Minnesota Twins | 12c | 1,100$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2b…9030backed Minnesota Twins | 71c | 1,063$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 64cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,050$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc073…861bbacked Minnesota Twins | 2c | 1,032$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,030$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.59 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Minnesota Twins | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,000$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e58abacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7f10backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 987.97$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.38 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 941.37$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.25 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 919.98$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.39 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 804.31$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.66 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…37acbacked Minnesota Twins | 12c | 800$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Minnesota Twins | 12c | 800$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 799.92$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.37 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 799.21$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.44 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 30c | 766.67$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.67 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Minnesota Twins | 12c | 750$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 729.57$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.76 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 715.73$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.94 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 26c | 714.41$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Minnesota Twins | 10c | 650$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 631.6$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.59 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 615.79$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 18c | 603.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.83 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8d…6724backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Minnesota Twins | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7288…9ec5backed Minnesota Twins | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Minnesota Twins | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 579.34$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.62 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 570.76$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.7 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 570.66$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 569.53$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.28 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 562.16$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.16 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 559.98$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 545.37$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.65 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Minnesota Twins | 23c | 541.63$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.09 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.