Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Landaluce (-1.5) vs Prado (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaaf5637dbd034a394a9a8f227883b97b4a9e4bd213ad9bffca6fbe5e68cd50f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pradoof Landaluce, Prado
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Prado | 44c | 5,020$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.28 | 187 | 47.6%89 W · 98 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Landaluce | 56c | 4,305$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.66 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Prado | 41c | 919.78$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.79 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Landaluce | 59c | 840.29$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.09 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Landaluce | 56c | 708.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Landaluce | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Landaluce | 56c | 561$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.06 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Landaluce | 59c | 521.94$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.78 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Prado | 58c | 487.3$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.67 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Prado | 44c | 432.49$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.19 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Prado | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 342 | 42.4%145 W · 197 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Landaluce | 59c | 336.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Prado | 40c | 279.03$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.21 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Landaluce | 66c | 255.25$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Prado | 14c | 232.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Landaluce | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Prado | 44c | 210.21$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Prado | 38c | 187.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Prado | 45c | 187$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…8cd7backed Landaluce | 56c | 144.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Landaluce | 55c | 142$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Landaluce | 59c | 135.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Landaluce | 60c | 124.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Landaluce | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Prado | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Prado | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Prado | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Landaluce | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 418 | 46.2%193 W · 225 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Landaluce | 56c | 66.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48dc…c7d5backed Landaluce | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Prado | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Landaluce | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Landaluce (-1.5) vs Prado (+1.5)this page
- Martin Landaluce vs. Juan Carlos Prado: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos PradoMartin Landaluce won
- Set Handicap: Landaluce (-2.5) vs Prado (+2.5)Prado won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.