MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5390c114483e302c0f28d68c5795d7960416e2e082bf27ce328759378c840ea4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $784,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $847,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $784,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 450 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 191,457$78,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,497.38 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 59c | 127,554$75,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,275.25 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked New York Yankees | 59c | 110,000$64,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,100 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 57,924$23,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,748.9 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 47,019$18,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,625.52 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 34c | 35,949$12,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,104.13 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 35,555$14,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,933.1 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed New York Yankees | 59c | 33,898$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,898.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 59c | 32,753$19,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,428.66 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 60c | 31,838$19,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,756.59 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 23,728$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 20,726$8,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,497.62 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 58c | 17,596$10,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,402.96 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 14,486$6,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,083.96 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 60c | 14,035$8,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,621 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 59c | 12,404$7,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,085.62 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked New York Yankees | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 9,500$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,895 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed New York Yankees | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.99 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c6b0backed New York Yankees | 59c | 8,083$4,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.15 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed New York Yankees | 59c | 8,000$4,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.99 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b95…a81dbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 7,909$4,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 6,950$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.22 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 6,780$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.66 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 6,098$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed New York Yankees | 58c | 6,081$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.02 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 5,800$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 15c | 5,163$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.04 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed New York Yankees | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.75 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked New York Yankees | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed New York Yankees | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.99 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 78c | 4,591$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.29 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 4,307$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 4,035$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.35 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed New York Yankees | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees | 58c | 3,674$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.05 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 3,572$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.48 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Yankees | 59c | 3,541$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.07 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 3,396$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.85 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked New York Yankees | 71c | 3,345$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.03 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed New York Yankees | 67c | 3,162$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.64 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 3,054$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 3,043$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.58 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.99 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.99 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 2,927$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.69 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…c7eebacked New York Yankees | 59c | 2,859$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.25 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 2,712$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.86 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 2,684$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.27 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 2,494$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.02 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 2,443$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.69 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 2,377$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.46 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Yankees | 61c | 2,247$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.02 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 2,179$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.45 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,925$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.3 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d9…2248backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,900$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,819$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.19 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed New York Yankees | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.99 | 234 | 57.7%135 W · 99 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Yankees | 61c | 1,648$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.62 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,637$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.21 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…6f39backed New York Yankees | 78c | 1,468$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 10c | 1,377$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,268$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.62 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals | 24c | 1,267$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.32 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed New York Yankees | 58c | 1,252$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.79 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,247$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.12 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,217$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.07 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.99 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.99 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed New York Yankees | 69c | 1,166$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.37 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,120$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.2 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…e9fabacked New York Yankees | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 1,100$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,050$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.5 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 34c | 1,050$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.96 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kansas City Royals | 19c | 1,040$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.67 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Kansas City Royals | 1c | 1,005$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked New York Yankees | 59c | 1,001$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked New York Yankees | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 180 | 67.8%122 W · 58 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked New York Yankees | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 988.97$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.03 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 968.14$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.94 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 957.54$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.53 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 904.98$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.04 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 900$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed New York Yankees | 58c | 899.98$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.99 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 870.12$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.4 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed New York Yankees | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 59c | 841.31$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.74 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Kansas City Royals | 27c | 840.59$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kansas City Royals | 31c | 814$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.16 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…f29bbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 810.13$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.66 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.