MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd48d25dc0fb72f781deee64f6cb6d7b7c41fa0368f00b3c15f8b17ae57cfcc65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof St. Louis Cardinals, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $709,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $757,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $709,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 95,000$56,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,849.99 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 86,657$52,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,196.64 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 61,395$25,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,584.19 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 55,555$21,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,666.45 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 47,630$18,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,575.6 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 47,568$27,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,978.71 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 46,645$27,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,646.84 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 39,000$16,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,379.94 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 33,718$13,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,403.75 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 28,485$17,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,398.19 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 22,727$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 20,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 18,330$9,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,619 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 16,282$8,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,791.71 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 15,748$6,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,536.45 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 13,774$9,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,652.83 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 12,795$6,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,427.35 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 11,991$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,676.61 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 11,065$6,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,868.39 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…5846backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 9,300$5,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 8,108$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.7 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 7,962$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.51 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 7,787$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.89 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 7,143$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 6,410$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 5,595$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.97 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 5,101$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.53 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c6b0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 4,835$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.82 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 4,806$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.91 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.9 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 4,726$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.59 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 4,548$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.64 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 4,500$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.96 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 4,333$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 4,001$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 3,995$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.04 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 3,862$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.43 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 3,667$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.71 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 3,567$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.05 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 3,565$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.44 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 3,232$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 3,186$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.51 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 3,057$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…c7eebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 2,830$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.7 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 2,773$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.67 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 2,559$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.97 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…b112backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 2,423$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 2,014$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.7 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,939$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.49 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,925$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.19 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,765$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.27 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 1,640$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.95 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 1,600$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,530$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.49 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,485$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.85 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 74c | 1,475$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.57 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,440$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.53 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 1,327$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.44 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 1,230$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.42 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,111$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.76 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 1,100$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 1,050$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,015$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 929$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.09 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522d…3913backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 896.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.09 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 7c | 860$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 832.5$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 759.88$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.66 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 745.24$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 739.61$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.43 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 731.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 724.68$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.96 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 627.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.48 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…741ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 610$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580f…c80cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 610$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 608$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.12 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 600$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 599.95$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.98 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 586.2$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.34 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 580.89$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.16 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 577.55$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.22 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 517$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 506$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.62 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 498.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 494.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.85 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 3.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.