MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe14bdd9d4b3835a32e8d7048ea5f3814c07e2a5a05379fde79eb7cfca6235927
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Milwaukee Brewers, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 5,480$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.97 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 3,145$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.34 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 2,800$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 2,279$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.95 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 1,999$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.77 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 1,877$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 1,610$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.96 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…dd8cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 1,551$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 960.1$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.06 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 940.79$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.59 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 791.49$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.62 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 775.21$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.36 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 720.71$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.28 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 524.11$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.64 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 507.72$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.97 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 483.16$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 436$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.48 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 354.58$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 335$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 270.72$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 21c | 265.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 226.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 179.37$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…c60dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 160.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 130.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 13c | 123$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…60b5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Milwaukee Brewers | 22c | 111.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…13c3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 87.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 75.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 73.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 53.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…d381backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…ec86backed Milwaukee Brewers | 22c | 51.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 49.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 46.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 39.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 35.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 34.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 33.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 28.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 27.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 25.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…891bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 18.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 17.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 16.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 3.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.