Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x157e9f232a7db8e10e9c582bba47569eeb80ad5113e8a2f1e921ee6c0674745f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tōkyō Verdyof Gamba Ōsaka, Tōkyō Verdy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tōkyō Verdy | 80c | 8,804$7,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.27 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Gamba Ōsaka | 21c | 3,487$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.56 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 1,600$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.97 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked Gamba Ōsaka | 16c | 1,286$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 1,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.98 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 699.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Gamba Ōsaka | 18c | 568.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Tōkyō Verdy | 78c | 519.88$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Gamba Ōsaka | 20c | 499.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Tōkyō Verdy | 78c | 409.94$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Tōkyō Verdy | 78c | 346.57$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 259.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 259.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Tōkyō Verdy | 77c | 164.16$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 159.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 156$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 155.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Tōkyō Verdy | 78c | 101$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Gamba Ōsaka | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…b5c9backed Gamba Ōsaka | 20c | 97.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Tōkyō Verdy | 78c | 96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tōkyō Verdy | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Gamba Ōsaka | 23c | 77.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Gamba Ōsaka | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tōkyō Verdy | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Tōkyō Verdy | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Tōkyō Verdy | 78c | 50.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Tōkyō Verdy | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Tōkyō Verdy | 78c | 36.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Tōkyō Verdy | 75c | 34.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Tōkyō Verdy | 78c | 30.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Tōkyō Verdy | 79c | 29.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Tōkyō Verdy | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Tōkyō Verdy | 78c | 20.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Tōkyō Verdy | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Tōkyō Verdy | 79c | 18.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…8cd7backed Tōkyō Verdy | 78c | 18.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Tōkyō Verdy | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Tōkyō Verdy | 78c | 17.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5)this page
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)Gamba Ōsaka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.