TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,099
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,099 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Under62c37,556$23,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,150.243650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Over37c10,326$3,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,820.751921.1%4 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-59.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over37c6,044$2,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.731,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over37c6,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2201,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over32c4,843$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.761457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under68c2,925$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.4118257.1%104 W · 78 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over37c1,731$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.544427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-40.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over39c1,600$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62418353%97 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over37c1,462$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.841,76650.2%887 W · 879 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over37c1,208$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.7240750.6%206 W · 201 L-0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over39c1,200$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46812050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over37c1,153$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.634341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over36c1,053$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.165,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over39c910$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.917757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over36c802.7$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2876738.8%26 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under63c766$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.421580%12 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over40c718.15$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.262,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over39c700$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27313154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae6d…468dbacked Under37c645.95$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2223743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2223240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2223246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23417247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009542.1%40 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over27c520$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13914629.5%43 W · 103 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19515349.7%76 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over37c456$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7293446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over37c404.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.451,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15621552.1%112 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15614453.5%77 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under63c349.02$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.771,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4571…a952backed Under53c312.83$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.832128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-34.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e45…32e3backed Over38c307.09$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11715854.4%86 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11716152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over53c299.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15919953.3%106 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under64c261.27$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.211,35745.5%617 W · 740 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over39c260$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.415050.7%76 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over39c260$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.414452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over37c238.75$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.341,12646.3%521 W · 605 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbebb…a1d5backed Over49c204.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Under61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Over36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+45.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3451…a6e1backed Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under63c195.35$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2814058.6%82 W · 58 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under63c195.35$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2840156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x995c…2282backed Under63c190.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.45726.3%15 W · 42 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over39c166$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.191,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over39c160$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.412652.4%66 W · 60 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over39c156$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8418256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over39c156$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8415054%81 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5224654.1%133 W · 113 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over39c140$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.616154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8a2…86debacked Over26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76d4…3639backed Over50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Over39c107.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.554560%27 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under54c101.07$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.493050%15 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+47.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Over29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3916555.8%92 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3913351.9%69 W · 64 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3917953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over33c93.85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.18156.7%1 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-85.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under62c91.94$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9412941.1%53 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over37c90$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.533053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over38c84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5911557.4%66 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over38c82.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.830464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over61c81.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7913855.8%77 W · 61 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Over39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.210156.4%57 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.373548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.372437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec79…1e2abacked Over39c75.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over39c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.258250%41 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over43c71.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4832457.1%185 W · 139 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518138.7%70 W · 111 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under58c61.9$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2634150.7%173 W · 168 L+18.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over40c55.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over36c53.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.622744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.034757.4%27 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over42c52.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.353040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52548%12 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over38c49.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.788256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Over37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.811759%69 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Over37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.86162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.612354.5%67 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21dd…0b83backed Over40c39.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.842623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Over37c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.431040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over37c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4320256.4%114 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7524656.9%140 W · 106 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.32347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997a…4cbebacked Over69c28.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under68c28.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1539058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under63c26.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.989750.5%49 W · 48 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under68c24.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.684355.8%24 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under63c20.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7619856.1%111 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.