Asian League · resolved market
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e5047efce915cb0551e3048be640a197241939c0871a33cd7738cdd4753fe49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2a1…8e53backed Yes | 60c | 1,668$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 1,610$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.01 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed No | 8c | 590.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Yes | 46c | 241.3$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 57c | 232.32$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.67 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked No | 15c | 138.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed No | 15c | 69.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed No | 73c | 34.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Yes | 45c | 23.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 55c | 19.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5)Tōkyō Verdy won
- Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)Gamba Ōsaka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.